TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061454
Played Sep 2Finished
Miroslav Vana
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117611911113611
Oleh Plyska
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vana to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMiroslav Vana above · Oleh Plyska below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 86 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Miroslav Vana at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Vana 18–27 Oleh Plyska Miroslav Vana has won 18 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:13What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vana
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-27 in 45
Plyska
Correct
gap of 9 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vana 1550 vs Plyska 1548
Vana
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vana 60% vs Plyska 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vana 70% vs Plyska 40%
Vana
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vana +1 · Plyska +3
Plyska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vana)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVana 1.80 / Plyska 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vana)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13061454
Vana1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 53 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it73% 41 of 56
Plyska1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 69 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back26% 22 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVana4wins
AwayPlyska6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderPlyska leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVana0%0 of 4
AwayPlyska33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vana4Plyska6n = 10Plyska took 6 of 10
S2Vana5Plyska5n = 10split evenly
S3Vana2Plyska8n = 10Plyska took 8 of 10
S4Vana5Plyska5n = 10split evenly
S5Vana4Plyska2n = 6Vana took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVanaPlyskaV − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.344.5−3.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanaPlyskaBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 361 vs 339 / 68652.4%49.4%189 / 361 vs 339 / 686Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanaVana 1.80/Plyska 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vana · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Plyska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 12:54M. Vana—771171O. Plyska—11119113
LSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana—1186101O. Plyska—81111123
WSep 2 · 08:33M. Vana—812913143O. Plyska—11101111122
LSep 2 · 07:30M. Vana—11691162O. Plyska—711113113
LAug 24 · 09:08M. Vana—113781O. Plyska—71111113
WAug 24 · 07:00M. Vana—711715113O. Plyska—116111362
WAug 22 · 16:59M. Vana—1311117113O. Plyska—15471182
LAug 22 · 14:30M. Vana—71191112O. Plyska—11811673
WJul 18 · 16:38M. Vana—411311143O. Plyska—113118122
LJul 18 · 13:30M. Vana—126771O. Plyska—101111113
M. Vana10
LSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:15J. Marhol2.00812521M. Vana1.73111011113WSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192LSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123WSep 2 · 08:33O. Plyska1.9111101111122M. Vana1.80812913143WSep 2 · 06:30M. Vana1.53121114113J. Hanacek2.381051691LSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113LAug 31 · 20:38M. Vana1.531181061T. Stejskal2.3871112113WAug 31 · 19:30T. Stejskal2.2031181162M. Vana1.61116119113WAug 31 · 19:00M. Vana2.10121011113L. Hendrych1.671012991
O. Plyska10
LSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962LSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971WSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:15J. Marhol1.6110121112143O. Plyska2.201214910122WSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123LSep 2 · 08:33O. Plyska1.9111101111122M. Vana1.80812913143WSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881WSep 2 · 06:00O. Plyska1.9111118113J. Hanacek1.80641131WAug 29 · 16:39J. Jnr2.6311561172O. Plyska1.44811119113
Upcoming Matches
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O. Plyska
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