TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067182
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleh Plyska
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114711118111119
Josef Hanacek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeOleh Plyska to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Plyska above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 1-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 84 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Oleh Plyska at 57.4%
84 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Plyska 18–14 Josef Hanacek Josef Hanacek has won 14 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Plyska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-14 in 32
Plyska
Correct
gap of 4 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plyska 1526 vs Hanacek 1445
Plyska
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plyska 60% vs Hanacek 40%
Plyska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plyska 50% vs Hanacek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plyska -1 · Hanacek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Plyska)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlyska 1.67 / Hanacek 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Plyska)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13067182
Plyska1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 98 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it87% 45 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it62% 62 of 100
Hanacek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 52 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back32% 18 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlyska6wins
AwayHanacek4wins
Plyska leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlyska66.7%4 of 6
AwayHanacek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plyska6Hanacek4n = 10Plyska took 6 of 10
S2Plyska5Hanacek5n = 10split evenly
S3Plyska6Hanacek4n = 10Plyska took 6 of 10
S4Plyska4Hanacek3n = 7Plyska took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlyskaHanacekP − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.832.5+3.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlyskaHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime337 / 684 vs 225 / 43249.3%52.1%337 / 684 vs 225 / 432Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlyskaPlyska 1.67/Hanacek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.4%
Plyska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Plyska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 06:00O. Plyska—11118113J. Hanacek—641131
LAug 29 · 13:30O. Plyska—8580J. Hanacek—1111113
WAug 25 · 12:28O. Plyska—1211113J. Hanacek—10490
LAug 25 · 10:00O. Plyska—1161101J. Hanacek—71111123
WAug 22 · 15:30O. Plyska—101111113J. Hanacek—128881
WAug 8 · 17:04O. Plyska—111012113J. Hanacek—8121041
LAug 8 · 14:30O. Plyska—8711101J. Hanacek—11112123
WAug 7 · 11:00O. Plyska—1311113J. Hanacek—11570
LAug 1 · 20:53O. Plyska—1366121J. Hanacek—111111143
WAug 1 · 18:45O. Plyska—41311113J. Hanacek—1111331
O. Plyska10
WSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962LSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971WSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171LSep 3 · 10:15J. Marhol1.6110121112143O. Plyska2.201214910122WSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123LSep 2 · 08:33O. Plyska1.9111101111122M. Vana1.80812913143WSep 2 · 07:30M. Vana1.8011691162O. Plyska1.91711113113WSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881WSep 2 · 06:00O. Plyska1.9111118113J. Hanacek1.80641131
J. Hanacek10
WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870LSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192WSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113LSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162WSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 06:30M. Vana1.53121114113J. Hanacek2.381051691LSep 2 · 06:00O. Plyska1.9111118113J. Hanacek1.80641131
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