TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060759
Played Sep 2Finished
Josef Hanacek
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119118611116––
Tadeas Bertho
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJosef Hanacek above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 66.3%
73 points played in total.
H2H Josef Hanacek 0–4 Tadeas Bertho Josef Hanacek has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Bertho
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Bertho
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hanacek 1440 vs Bertho 1467
Bertho
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanacek 20% vs Bertho 80%
Bertho
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanacek 50% vs Bertho 70%
Bertho
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanacek -2 · Bertho -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Bertho) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanacek 2.75 / Bertho 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Bertho)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13060759
Hanacek2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 51 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back33% 18 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Bertho1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 80 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it80% 62 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHanacek0wins
AwayBertho4wins
Bertho leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHanacekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBertho100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanacek1Bertho3n = 4Bertho took 3 of 4
S2Hanacek0Bertho4n = 4Bertho took 4 of 4
S3Hanacek3Bertho1n = 4Hanacek took 3 of 4
S4Hanacek0Bertho4n = 4Bertho took 4 of 4
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away4100%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricHanacekBerthoH − BBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match34.543.2−8.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanacekBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 428 vs 345 / 65252.1%52.9%223 / 428 vs 345 / 652Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoHanacek 2.75/Bertho 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.1%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hanacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJun 1 · 08:28J. Hanacek—1391381T. Bertho—151111113
LJun 1 · 06:30J. Hanacek—1110471T. Bertho—91211113
LMay 29 · 06:00J. Hanacek—1071191T. Bertho—12119113
LJan 24 · 19:45J. Hanacek—471141T. Bertho—11116113
J. Hanacek10
WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870LSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192WSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113LSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162LSep 2 · 06:30M. Vana1.53121114113J. Hanacek2.381051691LSep 2 · 06:00O. Plyska1.9111118113J. Hanacek1.80641131
T. Bertho10
LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162LSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881WSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113WSep 1 · 17:08K. Farsky1.8081151352T. Bertho1.911131111113WSep 1 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.759970T. Bertho1.401111113WSep 1 · 15:00T. Bertho2.001111113K. Farsky1.737450
Upcoming Matches
J. Hanacek
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T. Bertho
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