TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13087337
Played Sep 6Finished
Tadeas Bertho
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111012611––––
Stepan Kalensky
Away
2.07
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingTadeas Bertho above · Stepan Kalensky below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 59 set 3, 6-11
59 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Bertho 15–7 Stepan Kalensky Stepan Kalensky has won 7 of their 22 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kalensky form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertho 1.67 / Kalensky 2.07
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bertho)-1.3pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13087337
Bertho1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 78 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it92% 43 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it79% 61 of 77
Kalensky2.07
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 46 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back27% 17 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBertho6wins
AwayKalensky4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBertho leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBertho83.3%5 of 6
AwayKalensky75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bertho6Kalensky4n = 10Bertho took 6 of 10
S2Bertho6Kalensky4n = 10Bertho took 6 of 10
S3Bertho6Kalensky4n = 10Bertho took 6 of 10
S4Bertho4Kalensky4n = 8split evenly
S5Bertho2Kalensky2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBerthoKalenskyB − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.139.1+1.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerthoKalenskyBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 645 vs 287 / 52452.9%54.8%341 / 645 vs 287 / 524Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoBertho 1.67/Kalensky 2.07
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kalensky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 11:00T. Bertho—118119113S. Kalensky—41191192
LAug 30 · 16:15T. Bertho—1181161S. Kalensky—1311883
WAug 30 · 13:15T. Bertho—81111113S. Kalensky—117891
WJul 5 · 18:30T. Bertho—1111113S. Kalensky—9880
WJun 14 · 18:30T. Bertho—111179113S. Kalensky—78111182
WJun 7 · 20:29T. Bertho—11711113S. Kalensky—911791
WJun 7 · 19:00T. Bertho—1114113S. Kalensky—61260
LMay 3 · 18:00T. Bertho—71181162S. Kalensky—119116113
LApr 23 · 20:00T. Bertho—1011721S. Kalensky—12711113
LMar 28 · 17:00T. Bertho—11681352S. Kalensky—9111111113
T. Bertho10
LSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162LSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881WSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113WSep 1 · 17:08K. Farsky1.8081151352T. Bertho1.911131111113WSep 1 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.759970T. Bertho1.401111113WSep 1 · 15:00T. Bertho2.001111113K. Farsky1.737450
S. Kalensky10
LSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691LSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143LSep 5 · 16:59F. Kubos1.8011911113S. Kalensky1.91311891WSep 5 · 15:30L. Hendrych2.6391141152S. Kalensky1.44116115113LSep 5 · 14:00S. Kalensky1.731181051F. Kubos2.008111293LSep 5 · 08:59J. Juppa1.9171118113S. Kalensky1.801191671LSep 5 · 08:00S. Kalensky1.91741181J. Juppa1.8011117113WSep 5 · 06:30M. Cizek2.108550S. Kalensky1.671111113WSep 5 · 06:00Z. Kuksa2.201011111182S. Kalensky1.61121388113
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