TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079121
Played Sep 5Finished
Zdenek Kuksa
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121113118118811
Stepan Kalensky
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:35 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeStepan Kalensky to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Kuksa above · Stepan Kalensky below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 103 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Stepan Kalensky at 61.7%
103 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Kuksa 4–10 Stepan Kalensky Zdenek Kuksa has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:35What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kalensky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-10 in 14
Kalensky
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuksa 1523 vs Kalensky 1661
Kalensky
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuksa 40% vs Kalensky 100%
Kalensky
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuksa 40% vs Kalensky 90%
Kalensky
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuksa -1 · Kalensky +5
Kalensky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kalensky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kalensky form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuksa 2.20 / Kalensky 1.61
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Kalensky)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13079121
Kuksa2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog51% won 55 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Kalensky1.61
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 75 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it83% 43 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuksa3wins
AwayKalensky7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKalensky leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuksa50%2 of 4
AwayKalensky83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuksa4Kalensky6n = 10Kalensky took 6 of 10
S2Kuksa2Kalensky8n = 10Kalensky took 8 of 10
S3Kuksa6Kalensky4n = 10Kuksa took 6 of 10
S4Kuksa4Kalensky6n = 10Kalensky took 6 of 10
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuksaKalenskyKuksa − KalenskyBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.140.3−2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuksaKalenskyBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 502 vs 287 / 51851.2%55.4%257 / 502 vs 287 / 518Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KalenskyKuksa 2.20/Kalensky 1.61
Hit
What we said
61.7%
Kalensky · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kalensky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 09:08Z. Kuksa—571181S. Kalensky—11115113
WAug 22 · 07:45Z. Kuksa—111311113S. Kalensky—315691
WAug 13 · 17:30Z. Kuksa—11911123S. Kalensky—9117101
LAug 8 · 06:45Z. Kuksa—591151S. Kalensky—11114113
LMay 23 · 06:15Z. Kuksa—115881S. Kalensky—61111113
LJan 30 · 15:00Z. Kuksa—118881S. Kalensky—71111113
LOct 3 · 06:30Z. Kuksa—5141191S. Kalensky—11166113
LJul 31 · 18:30Z. Kuksa—361171S. Kalensky—11115113
WJul 24 · 20:27Z. Kuksa—811711113S. Kalensky—11811682
LJul 24 · 17:30Z. Kuksa—1011711112S. Kalensky—129118133
Z. Kuksa10
WSep 5 · 08:29Z. Kuksa1.80111111113M. Cizek1.91713761LSep 5 · 07:30M. Cizek2.00712118113Z. Kuksa1.73111031182LSep 5 · 07:00Z. Kuksa1.80111371392J. Juppa1.918151111113LAug 27 · 16:54Z. Kuksa1.91149931O. Horak1.80121111113WAug 27 · 15:45M. Soukup2.101011111182Z. Kuksa1.67121388113WAug 27 · 14:45O. Horak1.73111191262Z. Kuksa2.001371110113LAug 27 · 13:15T. Hanke2.0011114113Z. Kuksa1.73751161LAug 24 · 16:33M. Bruk1.67611211123Z. Kuksa2.10119116102LAug 24 · 15:30D. Marasek1.61111013113Z. Kuksa2.209121131LAug 24 · 15:00Z. Kuksa1.7311911692R. Merkl2.00511911113
S. Kalensky10
WSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691LSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143LSep 5 · 16:59F. Kubos1.8011911113S. Kalensky1.91311891WSep 5 · 15:30L. Hendrych2.6391141152S. Kalensky1.44116115113LSep 5 · 14:00S. Kalensky1.731181051F. Kubos2.008111293LSep 5 · 08:59J. Juppa1.9171118113S. Kalensky1.801191671LSep 5 · 08:00S. Kalensky1.91741181J. Juppa1.8011117113WSep 5 · 06:30M. Cizek2.108550S. Kalensky1.671111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.