TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12482308
Played Aug 24Finished
Dominik Marasek
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11910121311113––
Zdenek Kuksa
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:57 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeDominik Marasek to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDominik Marasek above · Zdenek Kuksa below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 80 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Dominik Marasek at 57.7%
80 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:57What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Marasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Marasek 1628 vs Kuksa 1549
Marasek
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marasek 60% vs Kuksa 40%
Marasek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marasek 50% vs Kuksa 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Marasek +3 · Kuksa -1
Marasek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Marasek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarasek 1.61 / Kuksa 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Marasek)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12482308
Marasek1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite49% won 26 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it73% 19 of 26
Kuksa2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 58 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back22% 10 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarasekKuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 240 vs 264 / 51247.5%51.6%114 / 240 vs 264 / 512Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.540.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarasekMarasek 1.61/Kuksa 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Marasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Marasek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Marasek10
WSep 3 · 17:03D. Marasek2.38141111113P. Semrad1.53165991LSep 3 · 16:00P. Semrad1.5011116113D. Marasek2.50561171WSep 3 · 15:00J. Simek2.638990D. Marasek1.441111113WSep 3 · 13:30T. Hybl2.2597100D. Marasek1.571111123WSep 1 · 16:49D. Marasek1.611111113L. Kolman2.209540WSep 1 · 15:45D. Marasek1.8311207113M. Svitac1.836181171WSep 1 · 14:15L. Kolman1.836980D. Marasek1.831111113WSep 1 · 13:45P. Semrad1.441213161342D. Marasek2.6310151811113WAug 24 · 17:03R. Merkl2.50661181D. Marasek1.5011118113WAug 24 · 14:30D. Marasek1.50111111113M. Bruk2.50881361
Z. Kuksa10
WSep 5 · 08:29Z. Kuksa1.80111111113M. Cizek1.91713761LSep 5 · 07:30M. Cizek2.00712118113Z. Kuksa1.73111031182LSep 5 · 07:00Z. Kuksa1.80111371392J. Juppa1.918151111113LSep 5 · 06:00Z. Kuksa2.201011111182S. Kalensky1.61121388113LAug 27 · 16:54Z. Kuksa1.91149931O. Horak1.80121111113WAug 27 · 15:45M. Soukup2.101011111182Z. Kuksa1.67121388113WAug 27 · 14:45O. Horak1.73111191262Z. Kuksa2.001371110113LAug 27 · 13:15T. Hanke2.0011114113Z. Kuksa1.73751161LAug 24 · 16:33M. Bruk1.67611211123Z. Kuksa2.10119116102LAug 24 · 15:00Z. Kuksa1.7311911692R. Merkl2.00511911113
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