TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022591
Played Aug 27Finished
Milos Soukup
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121113118118811
Zdenek Kuksa
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:56 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeZdenek Kuksa to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilos Soukup above · Zdenek Kuksa below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 103 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Zdenek Kuksa at 55.8%
103 points played in total.
H2H Milos Soukup 0–2 Zdenek Kuksa Milos Soukup has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:56What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kuksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Soukup 1462 vs Kuksa 1527
Kuksa
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Soukup 20% vs Kuksa 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Soukup 10% vs Kuksa 40%
Kuksa
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Soukup +1 · Kuksa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kuksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuksa form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSoukup 2.10 / Kuksa 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kuksa)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13022591
Soukup2.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 13 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back31% 4 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Kuksa1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 83 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it84% 42 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it75% 64 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSoukup0wins
AwayKuksa2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKuksa leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSoukupKuksaS − KBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match41.048.5−7.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoukupKuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 65 vs 262 / 51243.1%51.2%28 / 65 vs 262 / 512Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.239.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuksaSoukup 2.10/Kuksa 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Kuksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kuksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 20 · 16:29M. Soukup—713811132Z. Kuksa—1111117153
LAug 20 · 15:30M. Soukup—941161Z. Kuksa—11119113
M. Soukup10
WAug 27 · 16:23M. Soukup1.571013711113T. Hanke2.25121111552WAug 27 · 14:15T. Hanke1.913550M. Soukup1.801111113LAug 27 · 13:45O. Horak1.91111197113M. Soukup1.8079111172LAug 20 · 16:29M. Soukup2.00713811132Z. Kuksa1.731111117153LAug 20 · 15:30Z. Kuksa2.0011119113M. Soukup1.73941161LAug 20 · 15:00M. Soukup1.914480V. Lopata1.801111113LAug 20 · 14:00M. Soukup1.506890P. Hala2.501111113LAug 18 · 16:38T. Kanka1.67512511113M. Soukup2.10111011282LAug 18 · 15:30O. Chadima1.911213113M. Soukup1.80101190LAug 18 · 15:00M. Soukup1.8376110L. Kolman1.831111133
Z. Kuksa10
WSep 5 · 08:29Z. Kuksa1.80111111113M. Cizek1.91713761LSep 5 · 07:30M. Cizek2.00712118113Z. Kuksa1.73111031182LSep 5 · 07:00Z. Kuksa1.80111371392J. Juppa1.918151111113LSep 5 · 06:00Z. Kuksa2.201011111182S. Kalensky1.61121388113LAug 27 · 16:54Z. Kuksa1.91149931O. Horak1.80121111113WAug 27 · 14:45O. Horak1.73111191262Z. Kuksa2.001371110113LAug 27 · 13:15T. Hanke2.0011114113Z. Kuksa1.73751161LAug 24 · 16:33M. Bruk1.67611211123Z. Kuksa2.10119116102WAug 20 · 16:29M. Soukup2.00713811132Z. Kuksa1.731111117153WAug 20 · 15:30Z. Kuksa2.0011119113M. Soukup1.73941161
Upcoming Matches
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Z. Kuksa
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