TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12451734
Played Aug 18Finished
Ondrej Chadima
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101311119––––
Milos Soukup
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeMilos Soukup to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Chadima above · Milos Soukup below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 66 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Milos Soukup at 58.5%
66 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:13What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Soukup
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Chadima 1530 vs Soukup 1538
Soukup
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chadima 60% vs Soukup 40%
Chadima
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chadima 50% vs Soukup 30%
Chadima
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chadima +3 · Soukup -2
Chadima
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Soukup) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Soukup form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChadima 1.91 / Soukup 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Soukup)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12451734
Chadima1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 53 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Soukup1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 11 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it67% 8 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricChadimaSoukupBasisWin rate · lifetime311 / 596 vs 27 / 5752.2%47.4%311 / 596 vs 27 / 57Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SoukupChadima 1.91/Soukup 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Soukup · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chadima won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Chadima10
WSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113LSep 5 · 19:30T. Hanke1.73117116113O. Chadima2.0071181172WSep 5 · 19:00O. Chadima2.00912118113J. Juppa1.73111021172LSep 5 · 18:00O. Chadima3.508370D. Brichacek1.281111113WAug 31 · 20:29V. Herrmann1.9151191152O. Chadima1.80116118113LAug 31 · 19:15J. Gruber1.361111113O. Chadima3.004740LAug 31 · 18:45O. Chadima1.831010110V. Herrmann1.831212133WAug 31 · 17:45O. Chadima2.7513811113P. Orlowski1.401111971LAug 29 · 16:44V. Lopata1.2511119113O. Chadima3.75551141LAug 29 · 15:45O. Chadima2.207730V. Lopata1.611111103
M. Soukup10
WAug 27 · 16:23M. Soukup1.571013711113T. Hanke2.25121111552LAug 27 · 15:45M. Soukup2.101011111182Z. Kuksa1.67121388113WAug 27 · 14:15T. Hanke1.913550M. Soukup1.801111113LAug 27 · 13:45O. Horak1.91111197113M. Soukup1.8079111172LAug 20 · 16:29M. Soukup2.00713811132Z. Kuksa1.731111117153LAug 20 · 15:30Z. Kuksa2.0011119113M. Soukup1.73941161LAug 20 · 15:00M. Soukup1.914480V. Lopata1.801111113LAug 20 · 14:00M. Soukup1.506890P. Hala2.501111113LAug 18 · 16:38T. Kanka1.67512511113M. Soukup2.10111011282LAug 18 · 15:00M. Soukup1.8376110L. Kolman1.831111133
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