TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049585
Played Aug 31Finished
Ondrej Chadima
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
101210121113––––
Vit Herrmann
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Chadima to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Chadima above · Vit Herrmann below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 68 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Ondrej Chadima at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Chadima 16–13 Vit Herrmann Vit Herrmann has won 13 of their 29 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:44What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Herrmann
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-13 in 29
Chadima
Wrong
gap of 3 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chadima 1576 vs Herrmann 1626
Herrmann
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chadima 60% vs Herrmann 80%
Herrmann
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chadima 70% vs Herrmann 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chadima +1 · Herrmann -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Herrmann) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Herrmann form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChadima 1.83 / Herrmann 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Herrmann)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13049585
Chadima1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Herrmann1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChadima5wins
AwayHerrmann5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChadiman = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHerrmann37.5%3 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chadima2Herrmann8n = 10Herrmann took 8 of 10
S2Chadima6Herrmann4n = 10Chadima took 6 of 10
S3Chadima6Herrmann4n = 10Chadima took 6 of 10
S4Chadima7Herrmann2n = 9Chadima took 7 of 9
S5Chadima1Herrmann3n = 4Herrmann took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChadimaHerrmannC − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match41.840.5+1.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChadimaHerrmannBasisWin rate · lifetime312 / 603 vs 210 / 43551.7%48.3%312 / 603 vs 210 / 435Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChadimaChadima 1.83/Herrmann 1.83
Miss
What we said
54%
Herrmann · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Herrmann won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 7 · 12:00O. Chadima—1591171V. Herrmann—17117113
LJun 6 · 16:14O. Chadima—11711692V. Herrmann—911811113
WJun 6 · 13:15O. Chadima—8121111113V. Herrmann—111013642
WApr 18 · 13:04O. Chadima—71113123V. Herrmann—11511101
LApr 18 · 12:00O. Chadima—11351182V. Herrmann—511118113
WMar 1 · 10:30O. Chadima—81211113V. Herrmann—1110781
WFeb 7 · 15:15O. Chadima—121111103V. Herrmann—147871
WFeb 1 · 11:45O. Chadima—81311123V. Herrmann—11112101
LJan 20 · 21:36O. Chadima—6750V. Herrmann—1111113
LJan 20 · 19:00O. Chadima—111191182V. Herrmann—132116113
O. Chadima10
WSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113LSep 5 · 19:30T. Hanke1.73117116113O. Chadima2.0071181172WSep 5 · 19:00O. Chadima2.00912118113J. Juppa1.73111021172LSep 5 · 18:00O. Chadima3.508370D. Brichacek1.281111113WAug 31 · 20:29V. Herrmann1.9151191152O. Chadima1.80116118113LAug 31 · 19:15J. Gruber1.361111113O. Chadima3.004740WAug 31 · 17:45O. Chadima2.7513811113P. Orlowski1.401111971LAug 29 · 16:44V. Lopata1.2511119113O. Chadima3.75551141LAug 29 · 15:45O. Chadima2.207730V. Lopata1.611111103WAug 29 · 14:15P. Maly1.833711101O. Chadima1.8311115123
V. Herrmann10
WSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691LSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103WSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103LSep 5 · 10:45V. Herrmann2.5013990L. Kolman1.501511113WSep 5 · 09:45V. Herrmann2.0011136113V. Lopata1.739111171LAug 31 · 20:29V. Herrmann1.9151191152O. Chadima1.80116118113LAug 31 · 19:45P. Orlowski1.44121211113V. Herrmann2.631014951
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