TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037631
Played Aug 29Finished
Petr Maly
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3117111151012––
Ondrej Chadima
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Maly to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingPetr Maly above · Ondrej Chadima below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 70 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Petr Maly at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Petr Maly 14–17 Ondrej Chadima Petr Maly has won 14 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:52What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Chadima
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-17 in 31
Chadima
Correct
gap of 3 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maly 1554 vs Chadima 1573
Chadima
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maly 40% vs Chadima 80%
Chadima
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maly 30% vs Chadima 70%
Chadima
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maly -1 · Chadima +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maly)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chadima form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaly 1.83 / Chadima 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chadima)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13037631
Maly1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Chadima1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaly3wins
AwayChadima7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderChadima leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaly40%2 of 5
AwayChadima80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maly5Chadima5n = 10split evenly
S2Maly7Chadima3n = 10Maly took 7 of 10
S3Maly7Chadima3n = 10Maly took 7 of 10
S4Maly1Chadima7n = 8Chadima took 7 of 8
S5Maly0Chadima4n = 4Chadima took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMalyChadimaM − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.038.9+2.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalyChadimaBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 445 vs 309 / 59854.4%51.7%242 / 445 vs 309 / 598Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChadimaMaly 1.83/Chadima 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Maly · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chadima won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 12 · 19:15P. Maly—8811121O. Chadima—11116143
LJul 14 · 20:19P. Maly—9111061O. Chadima—11112113
LJul 14 · 19:15P. Maly—91111492O. Chadima—117911113
LJul 1 · 18:00P. Maly—111111962O. Chadima—813311113
WJun 14 · 12:15P. Maly—101111113O. Chadima—129721
WJun 14 · 10:45P. Maly—1111113O. Chadima—8860
LJun 6 · 14:45P. Maly—111488132O. Chadima—8121111153
LFeb 8 · 10:30P. Maly—611111062O. Chadima—117512113
WJan 13 · 20:00P. Maly—1111113O. Chadima—6680
LDec 13 · 13:30P. Maly—1111861O. Chadima—71311113
P. Maly10
LSep 5 · 12:19V. Lopata1.67101111113P. Maly2.10126851LSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103WSep 5 · 10:15P. Maly2.00119713113V. Lopata1.73511111142LSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 20:34P. Maly1.91613631J. Jnr1.80111111113LSep 2 · 20:00M. Hajek1.57111112113P. Maly2.25781491LSep 2 · 19:00R. Merkl1.911111113P. Maly1.808960LSep 2 · 17:30J. Jnr1.83111111113P. Maly1.83741391LSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262LSep 1 · 19:15P. Maly2.388990T. Hucko1.531111113
O. Chadima10
WSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113LSep 5 · 19:30T. Hanke1.73117116113O. Chadima2.0071181172WSep 5 · 19:00O. Chadima2.00912118113J. Juppa1.73111021172LSep 5 · 18:00O. Chadima3.508370D. Brichacek1.281111113WAug 31 · 20:29V. Herrmann1.9151191152O. Chadima1.80116118113LAug 31 · 19:15J. Gruber1.361111113O. Chadima3.004740LAug 31 · 18:45O. Chadima1.831010110V. Herrmann1.831212133WAug 31 · 17:45O. Chadima2.7513811113P. Orlowski1.401111971LAug 29 · 16:44V. Lopata1.2511119113O. Chadima3.75551141LAug 29 · 15:45O. Chadima2.207730V. Lopata1.611111103
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