TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049666
Played Aug 31Finished
Josef Gruber
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114117114––––
Ondrej Chadima
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:03 and never touched — 72.8% is still 72.8%
Graded at full timeJosef Gruber to win
72.8%
72.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Gruber above · Ondrej Chadima below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 48 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Josef Gruber at 72.8%
48 points played in total.
H2H Josef Gruber 5–2 Ondrej Chadima Ondrej Chadima has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Gruber
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Gruber
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gruber 1708 vs Chadima 1564
Gruber
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gruber 80% vs Chadima 40%
Gruber
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gruber 60% vs Chadima 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gruber -1 · Chadima -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Gruber) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGruber 1.36 / Chadima 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Gruber)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13049666
Gruber1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 48 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it88% 38 of 43
Chadima3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 54 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeGruber5wins
AwayChadima2wins
3 of 7 to a deciderGruber leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGruber100%4 of 4
AwayChadima66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gruber4Chadima3n = 7Gruber took 4 of 7
S2Gruber5Chadima2n = 7Gruber took 5 of 7
S3Gruber5Chadima2n = 7Gruber took 5 of 7
S4Gruber4Chadima1n = 5Gruber took 4 of 5
S5Gruber1Chadima2n = 3Chadima took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricGruberChadimaG − CBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match42.133.9+8.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGruberChadimaBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 208 vs 312 / 60457.2%51.7%119 / 208 vs 312 / 604Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GruberGruber 1.36/Chadima 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70%
Gruber · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gruber won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 4 · 19:30J. Gruber—89111192O. Chadima—111192113
WDec 15 · 11:00J. Gruber—1111113O. Chadima—2990
WDec 8 · 13:29J. Gruber—111110113O. Chadima—771271
LDec 8 · 12:30J. Gruber—101111582O. Chadima—127611113
WOct 18 · 09:45J. Gruber—1111113O. Chadima—7460
WOct 4 · 09:30J. Gruber—118811133O. Chadima—311114112
WApr 6 · 16:00J. Gruber—81211113O. Chadima—1110781
J. Gruber10
LAug 31 · 20:58P. Orlowski1.73911119113J. Gruber2.0011791182LAug 31 · 18:15J. Gruber1.91412931P. Orlowski1.80111011113WAug 31 · 17:15J. Gruber1.3611116113V. Herrmann3.00791171WAug 18 · 21:10P. Maly2.25513110J. Gruber1.571115133WAug 18 · 19:30J. Gruber1.8311713123A. Pavlik1.8331111101WAug 18 · 18:30J. Gruber1.40111111113R. Merkl2.75451361LAug 18 · 17:30J. Gruber1.539511101P. Maly2.3811118123WAug 4 · 20:33R. Merkl2.639990J. Gruber1.441111113LAug 4 · 19:30J. Gruber1.3389111192O. Chadima3.25111192113LAug 4 · 18:30J. Gruber1.738880T. Hanke2.001111113
O. Chadima10
WSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113LSep 5 · 19:30T. Hanke1.73117116113O. Chadima2.0071181172WSep 5 · 19:00O. Chadima2.00912118113J. Juppa1.73111021172LSep 5 · 18:00O. Chadima3.508370D. Brichacek1.281111113WAug 31 · 20:29V. Herrmann1.9151191152O. Chadima1.80116118113LAug 31 · 18:45O. Chadima1.831010110V. Herrmann1.831212133WAug 31 · 17:45O. Chadima2.7513811113P. Orlowski1.401111971LAug 29 · 16:44V. Lopata1.2511119113O. Chadima3.75551141LAug 29 · 15:45O. Chadima2.207730V. Lopata1.611111103WAug 4 · 19:30J. Gruber1.3389111192O. Chadima3.25111192113
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