TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078969
Played Sep 5Finished
Tomas Hanke
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117711118611117
Ondrej Chadima
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Hanke to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Hanke above · Ondrej Chadima below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 90 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Tomas Hanke at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hanke 6–6 Ondrej Chadima Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:48What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hanke
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hanke 1491 vs Chadima 1561
Chadima
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanke 0% vs Chadima 40%
Chadima
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanke 20% vs Chadima 50%
Chadima
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanke -5 · Chadima +1
Hanke
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chadima) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanke form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanke 1.73 / Chadima 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chadima)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13078969
Hanke1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 70 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it79% 50 of 63
Chadima2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 55 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHanke5wins
AwayChadima5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHanke66.7%4 of 6
AwayChadima75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanke6Chadima4n = 10Hanke took 6 of 10
S2Hanke4Chadima6n = 10Chadima took 6 of 10
S3Hanke8Chadima2n = 10Hanke took 8 of 10
S4Hanke2Chadima4n = 6Chadima took 4 of 6
S5Hanke1Chadima3n = 4Chadima took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHankeChadimaH − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.639.4+1.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHankeChadimaBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 511 vs 307 / 59653.2%51.5%272 / 511 vs 307 / 596Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChadimaHanke 1.73/Chadima 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Chadima · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hanke won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 6 · 16:19T. Hanke—1111133O. Chadima—59110
LAug 6 · 13:45T. Hanke—10880O. Chadima—1211113
LAug 4 · 21:03T. Hanke—87110O. Chadima—1111133
LAug 4 · 18:00T. Hanke—1115111132O. Chadima—717813113
LJul 28 · 17:04T. Hanke—71111992O. Chadima—117811113
WJul 28 · 16:00T. Hanke—711119123O. Chadima—112911102
WJun 6 · 15:45T. Hanke—11712113O. Chadima—6111091
LApr 30 · 20:13T. Hanke—117118112O. Chadima—511711133
WApr 30 · 17:45T. Hanke—121011163O. Chadima—10129141
WJan 24 · 15:00T. Hanke—1111113O. Chadima—9790
T. Hanke10
LSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:15M. Taranko1.917860T. Hanke1.801111113LSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113LSep 6 · 05:45T. Hanke2.001191061L. Stoces1.7391112113LSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181LSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113LSep 5 · 17:30T. Hanke1.6181181162J. Juppa2.20116117113LAug 28 · 20:28D. Brichacek1.671111113T. Hanke2.105440LAug 28 · 19:30T. Hanke2.10611512122D. Brichacek1.671161110143LAug 28 · 18:30T. Hanke2.10891191P. Maly1.6711119113
O. Chadima10
WSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113WSep 5 · 19:00O. Chadima2.00912118113J. Juppa1.73111021172LSep 5 · 18:00O. Chadima3.508370D. Brichacek1.281111113WAug 31 · 20:29V. Herrmann1.9151191152O. Chadima1.80116118113LAug 31 · 19:15J. Gruber1.361111113O. Chadima3.004740LAug 31 · 18:45O. Chadima1.831010110V. Herrmann1.831212133WAug 31 · 17:45O. Chadima2.7513811113P. Orlowski1.401111971LAug 29 · 16:44V. Lopata1.2511119113O. Chadima3.75551141LAug 29 · 15:45O. Chadima2.207730V. Lopata1.611111103WAug 29 · 14:15P. Maly1.833711101O. Chadima1.8311115123
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