TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031364
Played Aug 28Finished
Tomas Hanke
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
61111651112101214
David Brichacek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:37 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeDavid Brichacek to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Hanke above · David Brichacek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 98 set 5, 12-14 — our read held David Brichacek at 55.4%
98 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hanke 4–5 David Brichacek Tomas Hanke has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:37What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Brichacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hanke 1503 vs Brichacek 1617
Brichacek
Correct
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanke 20% vs Brichacek 60%
Brichacek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanke 30% vs Brichacek 50%
Brichacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanke -1 · Brichacek +3
Brichacek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Brichacek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanke form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanke 2.10 / Brichacek 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Brichacek)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13031364
Hanke2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 34 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back31% 9 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 16
Brichacek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 104 of 185
Up 2–0, closes it93% 57 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it77% 75 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeHanke4wins
AwayBrichacek5wins
4 of 9 to a deciderBrichacek leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHanken = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBrichacek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanke2Brichacek7n = 9Brichacek took 7 of 9
S2Hanke7Brichacek2n = 9Hanke took 7 of 9
S3Hanke2Brichacek7n = 9Brichacek took 7 of 9
S4Hanke4Brichacek3n = 7Hanke took 4 of 7
S5Hanke2Brichacek2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricHankeBrichacekH − BBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match36.840.8−4.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHankeBrichacekBasisWin rate · lifetime282 / 525 vs 151 / 29253.7%51.7%282 / 525 vs 151 / 292Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrichacekHanke 2.10/Brichacek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Brichacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Brichacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 28 · 20:28T. Hanke—5440D. Brichacek—1111113
LAug 28 · 19:30T. Hanke—611512122D. Brichacek—1161110143
WAug 2 · 06:45T. Hanke—111164113D. Brichacek—88111182
LAug 1 · 12:59T. Hanke—4590D. Brichacek—1111113
WAug 1 · 10:30T. Hanke—71211123D. Brichacek—11104101
LJul 17 · 18:30T. Hanke—4113121D. Brichacek—11911143
LJul 7 · 17:30T. Hanke—1011111282D. Brichacek—1271310113
WJun 28 · 11:15T. Hanke—111149113D. Brichacek—55111152
WJun 7 · 07:30T. Hanke—61113113D. Brichacek—1151161
T. Hanke10
LSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:15M. Taranko1.917860T. Hanke1.801111113LSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113LSep 6 · 05:45T. Hanke2.001191061L. Stoces1.7391112113LSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181WSep 5 · 19:30T. Hanke1.73117116113O. Chadima2.0071181172LSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113LSep 5 · 17:30T. Hanke1.6181181162J. Juppa2.20116117113LAug 28 · 20:28D. Brichacek1.671111113T. Hanke2.105440LAug 28 · 18:30T. Hanke2.10891191P. Maly1.6711119113
D. Brichacek10
WSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:45L. Stoces2.3886121122D. Brichacek1.531111106113WSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113WSep 6 · 05:15M. Taranko2.104960D. Brichacek1.671111113LSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113WSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250WSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113WSep 5 · 18:00O. Chadima3.508370D. Brichacek1.281111113WSep 4 · 21:33D. Brichacek2.20611211113P. Orlowski1.6111811592WAug 28 · 20:28D. Brichacek1.671111113T. Hanke2.105440
Upcoming Matches
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D. Brichacek
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