TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084284
Played Sep 6Finished
Ludek Stoces
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8116111210116211
David Brichacek
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeDavid Brichacek to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLudek Stoces above · David Brichacek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 88 set 5, 2-11 — our read held David Brichacek at 58.9%
88 points played in total.
H2H Ludek Stoces 7–8 David Brichacek Ludek Stoces has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:50What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Brichacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-8 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stoces 1566 vs Brichacek 1708
Brichacek
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stoces 40% vs Brichacek 80%
Brichacek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stoces 50% vs Brichacek 80%
Brichacek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stoces -1 · Brichacek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Brichacek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brichacek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStoces 2.38 / Brichacek 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Brichacek)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13084284
Stoces2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 22 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back25% 8 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Brichacek1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 110 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it94% 61 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it78% 81 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStoces5wins
AwayBrichacek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStoces60%3 of 5
AwayBrichacek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stoces5Brichacek5n = 10split evenly
S2Stoces3Brichacek7n = 10Brichacek took 7 of 10
S3Stoces5Brichacek5n = 10split evenly
S4Stoces4Brichacek3n = 7Stoces took 4 of 7
S5Stoces2Brichacek1n = 3Stoces took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStocesBrichacekS − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.736.70.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStocesBrichacekBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 201 vs 163 / 31043.3%52.6%87 / 201 vs 163 / 310Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrichacekStoces 2.38/Brichacek 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Brichacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Brichacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 19:30L. Stoces—10940D. Brichacek—1211113
LAug 22 · 12:34L. Stoces—11331182D. Brichacek—711119113
WAug 22 · 09:30L. Stoces—1111113D. Brichacek—3690
WJul 24 · 13:45L. Stoces—91112113D. Brichacek—1131031
WJul 6 · 18:30L. Stoces—117118113D. Brichacek—61161162
LJul 4 · 13:04L. Stoces—1168111D. Brichacek—71111133
WJul 4 · 10:00L. Stoces—91117113D. Brichacek—1191541
WJun 21 · 08:43L. Stoces—118711113D. Brichacek—91111852
LJun 21 · 07:45L. Stoces—9480D. Brichacek—1111113
LJun 10 · 20:32L. Stoces—961151D. Brichacek—11118113
L. Stoces10
WSep 6 · 08:29L. Stoces1.221112113M. Taranko4.0051070LSep 6 · 06:15M. Taranko2.504111410143L. Stoces1.501191212122WSep 6 · 05:45T. Hanke2.001191061L. Stoces1.7391112113LAug 30 · 20:34L. Kolman1.5711811113L. Stoces2.25511781LAug 30 · 19:30D. Brichacek1.671211113L. Stoces2.1010940WAug 30 · 19:00L. Stoces2.38111176113L. Kolman1.5357111192WAug 30 · 18:00L. Stoces2.2011211113M. Hajek1.611110781WAug 29 · 16:15L. Stoces1.5711118113P. Maly2.25881141LAug 29 · 15:15P. Maly1.731211911123L. Stoces2.001013114102WAug 29 · 14:45L. Stoces1.911161210113V. Lopata1.80711101262
D. Brichacek10
WSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113WSep 6 · 05:15M. Taranko2.104960D. Brichacek1.671111113LSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113WSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250WSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113WSep 5 · 18:00O. Chadima3.508370D. Brichacek1.281111113WSep 4 · 21:33D. Brichacek2.20611211113P. Orlowski1.6111811592WSep 4 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.91115179113P. Hala1.80311151162WAug 30 · 19:30D. Brichacek1.671211113L. Stoces2.1010940
Upcoming Matches
L. Stoces
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D. Brichacek
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