TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13042663
Played Aug 29Finished
Ludek Stoces
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118118811114––
Petr Maly
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingLudek Stoces above · Petr Maly below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 72 set 4, 11-4
72 points played in total.
H2H Ludek Stoces 0–2 Petr Maly Ludek Stoces has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Stoces)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stoces form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStoces 1.57 / Maly 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Stoces)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13042663
Stoces1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 17 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it39% 7 of 18
Maly2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog60% won 42 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back43% 15 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back22% 4 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeStoces0wins
AwayMaly2wins
2 of 2 to a deciderMaly leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away2
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricStocesMalyS − MBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match46.052.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStocesMalyBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 194 vs 243 / 44742.8%54.4%83 / 194 vs 243 / 447Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StocesStoces 1.57/Maly 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Stoces · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stoces won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 29 · 15:15L. Stoces—1013114102P. Maly—1211911123
LAug 22 · 12:00L. Stoces—11811682P. Maly—711911113
L. Stoces10
WSep 6 · 08:29L. Stoces1.221112113M. Taranko4.0051070LSep 6 · 07:45L. Stoces2.3886121122D. Brichacek1.531111106113LSep 6 · 06:15M. Taranko2.504111410143L. Stoces1.501191212122WSep 6 · 05:45T. Hanke2.001191061L. Stoces1.7391112113LAug 30 · 20:34L. Kolman1.5711811113L. Stoces2.25511781LAug 30 · 19:30D. Brichacek1.671211113L. Stoces2.1010940WAug 30 · 19:00L. Stoces2.38111176113L. Kolman1.5357111192WAug 30 · 18:00L. Stoces2.2011211113M. Hajek1.611110781LAug 29 · 15:15P. Maly1.731211911123L. Stoces2.001013114102WAug 29 · 14:45L. Stoces1.911161210113V. Lopata1.80711101262
P. Maly10
LSep 5 · 12:19V. Lopata1.67101111113P. Maly2.10126851LSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103WSep 5 · 10:15P. Maly2.00119713113V. Lopata1.73511111142LSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 20:34P. Maly1.91613631J. Jnr1.80111111113LSep 2 · 20:00M. Hajek1.57111112113P. Maly2.25781491LSep 2 · 19:00R. Merkl1.911111113P. Maly1.808960LSep 2 · 17:30J. Jnr1.83111111113P. Maly1.83741391LSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262WAug 29 · 15:15P. Maly1.731211911123L. Stoces2.001013114102
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