TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061637
Played Sep 2Finished
Miroslav Hajek
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171181214119––
Petr Maly
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:03 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Hajek to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Hajek above · Petr Maly below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 83 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Miroslav Hajek at 56.6%
83 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Hajek 0–1 Petr Maly Miroslav Hajek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hajek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hajek 1671 vs Maly 1479
Hajek
Correct
both rated, 191 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hajek 60% vs Maly 20%
Hajek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hajek 70% vs Maly 30%
Hajek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hajek +3 · Maly -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Hajek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maly form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHajek 1.57 / Maly 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Hajek)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13061637
Hajek1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 74 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it76% 57 of 75
Maly2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog58% won 42 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back38% 14 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back20% 4 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHajek0wins
AwayMaly1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMaly leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHajekMalyH − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match47.051.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHajekMalyBasisWin rate · lifetime366 / 674 vs 239 / 44654.3%53.6%366 / 674 vs 239 / 446Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.139.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekHajek 1.57/Maly 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hajek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 1 · 18:15M. Hajek—86111482P. Maly—1111612113
M. Hajek10
LSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:15A. Pavlik2.2551490M. Hajek1.571116103LSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113WSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123LSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371LSep 6 · 05:30R. Merkl2.3814711123M. Hajek1.5312117101WSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113LSep 4 · 11:45M. Hajek1.73116571Z. Vasatko2.0091111113
P. Maly10
LSep 5 · 12:19V. Lopata1.67101111113P. Maly2.10126851LSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103WSep 5 · 10:15P. Maly2.00119713113V. Lopata1.73511111142LSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 20:34P. Maly1.91613631J. Jnr1.80111111113LSep 2 · 19:00R. Merkl1.911111113P. Maly1.808960LSep 2 · 17:30J. Jnr1.83111111113P. Maly1.83741391LSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262LSep 1 · 19:15P. Maly2.388990T. Hucko1.531111113WSep 1 · 18:15P. Maly2.381111612113M. Hajek1.5386111482
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