TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084060
Played Sep 6Finished
Pavel Hala
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
91110121012––––
Miroslav Hajek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:03 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Hajek to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Hala above · Miroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 64 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Miroslav Hajek at 55.3%
64 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Hala 22–25 Miroslav Hajek Pavel Hala has won 22 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:03What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hajek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-25 in 47
Hajek
Correct
gap of 3 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hala 1618 vs Hajek 1659
Hajek
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hala 40% vs Hajek 20%
Hala
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hala 50% vs Hajek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hala +1 · Hajek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Hajek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hajek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHala 2.00 / Hajek 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Hajek)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13084060
Hala2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 46 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back22% 10 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Hajek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 78 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it92% 43 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it77% 61 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHala3wins
AwayHajek7wins
7 of 10 to a deciderHajek leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHala25%1 of 4
AwayHajek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hala4Hajek6n = 10Hajek took 6 of 10
S2Hala8Hajek2n = 10Hala took 8 of 10
S3Hala0Hajek10n = 10Hajek took 10 of 10
S4Hala5Hajek5n = 10split evenly
S5Hala3Hajek4n = 7Hajek took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHalaHajekHala − HajekBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.944.0−4.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHalaHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime308 / 611 vs 366 / 67450.4%54.3%308 / 611 vs 366 / 674Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.740.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekHala 2.00/Hajek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hajek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJan 28 · 21:47P. Hala—511781M. Hajek—11711113
WJan 28 · 18:45P. Hala—12116993M. Hajek—109111162
LJan 7 · 22:28P. Hala—81161142M. Hajek—11711893
LJan 7 · 19:00P. Hala—1168131M. Hajek—51111153
LDec 23 · 10:15P. Hala—611611102M. Hajek—116113123
LDec 23 · 07:00P. Hala—113971M. Hajek—71111113
WDec 17 · 19:15P. Hala—811811113M. Hajek—11911682
WDec 8 · 13:50P. Hala—611911113M. Hajek—11811692
LDec 8 · 12:45P. Hala—11141152M. Hajek—117113113
LDec 3 · 19:00P. Hala—11115672M. Hajek—971111113
P. Hala10
WSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113WSep 6 · 06:30R. Merkl2.10231111102P. Hala1.67111177123LSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski2.00131110163P. Hala1.7311712141WSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161LSep 4 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.91115179113P. Hala1.80311151162LSep 4 · 19:00P. Orlowski1.91119211123P. Hala1.80811118102LSep 4 · 17:30P. Rucky1.611513118113P. Hala2.20131561192WSep 2 · 16:50L. Kolman1.78111011752P. Hala1.92612611113LSep 2 · 15:45P. Hala1.919113141L. Kolman1.8011911163WSep 2 · 14:15P. Semrad1.50911891P. Hala2.5011411113
M. Hajek10
LSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:15A. Pavlik2.2551490M. Hajek1.571116103LSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113LSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371LSep 6 · 05:30R. Merkl2.3814711123M. Hajek1.5312117101WSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113LSep 4 · 11:45M. Hajek1.73116571Z. Vasatko2.0091111113LSep 4 · 10:15T. Hucko1.801113113M. Hajek1.9191170
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