TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073930
Played Sep 4Finished
Petr Orlowski
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1189112111181210
Pavel Hala
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Orlowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Orlowski above · Pavel Hala below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 93 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Petr Orlowski at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Petr Orlowski 9–19 Pavel Hala Petr Orlowski has won 9 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:50What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hala
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-19 in 28
Hala
Wrong
gap of 10 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Orlowski 1668 vs Hala 1638
Orlowski
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Orlowski 80% vs Hala 60%
Orlowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Orlowski 80% vs Hala 40%
Orlowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Orlowski +4 · Hala -1
Orlowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Orlowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Orlowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOrlowski 1.91 / Hala 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Orlowski)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13073930
Orlowski1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog54% won 46 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back38% 15 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Hala1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 74 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it66% 63 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOrlowski3wins
AwayHala7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHala leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOrlowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHala75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Orlowski2Hala8n = 10Hala took 8 of 10
S2Orlowski5Hala5n = 10split evenly
S3Orlowski5Hala5n = 10split evenly
S4Orlowski2Hala6n = 8Hala took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricOrlowskiHalaO − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.039.4−3.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOrlowskiHalaBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 333 vs 308 / 61052.9%50.5%176 / 333 vs 308 / 610Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrlowskiOrlowski 1.91/Hala 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Orlowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Orlowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 08:18P. Orlowski—11911123P. Hala—5117101
LAug 23 · 07:15P. Orlowski—1111661P. Hala—13911113
LMay 25 · 18:15P. Orlowski—913721P. Hala—111111113
WApr 19 · 06:30P. Orlowski—81111133P. Hala—1156111
LMar 1 · 17:22P. Orlowski—711981P. Hala—11611113
LMar 1 · 15:15P. Orlowski—91090P. Hala—1112113
LJan 22 · 22:10P. Orlowski—7890P. Hala—1111113
LJan 22 · 21:00P. Orlowski—11611852P. Hala—711911113
WJan 12 · 21:26P. Orlowski—911118113P. Hala—11791192
LJan 12 · 19:45P. Orlowski—391181P. Hala—11115113
P. Orlowski10
WSep 6 · 08:34P. Orlowski1.73111114133R. Merkl2.009416111LSep 6 · 07:30R. Merkl1.9171111113P. Orlowski1.80119891WSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371WSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski2.00131110163P. Hala1.7311712141LSep 4 · 21:33D. Brichacek2.20611211113P. Orlowski1.6111811592WSep 4 · 19:30P. Rucky2.1083111152P. Orlowski1.67111153113WSep 4 · 18:00P. Orlowski2.1011116113D. Brichacek1.67871161WAug 31 · 20:58P. Orlowski1.73911119113J. Gruber2.0011791182WAug 31 · 19:45P. Orlowski1.44121211113V. Herrmann2.631014951WAug 31 · 18:15J. Gruber1.91412931P. Orlowski1.80111011113
P. Hala10
WSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113LSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123WSep 6 · 06:30R. Merkl2.10231111102P. Hala1.67111177123LSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski2.00131110163P. Hala1.7311712141WSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161LSep 4 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.91115179113P. Hala1.80311151162LSep 4 · 17:30P. Rucky1.611513118113P. Hala2.20131561192WSep 2 · 16:50L. Kolman1.78111011752P. Hala1.92612611113LSep 2 · 15:45P. Hala1.919113141L. Kolman1.8011911163WSep 2 · 14:15P. Semrad1.50911891P. Hala2.5011411113
Upcoming Matches
P. Orlowski
P. Hala
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.