TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073975
Played Sep 4Finished
Premysl Rucky
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811311115113511
Petr Orlowski
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:04 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timePetr Orlowski to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingPremysl Rucky above · Petr Orlowski below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 79 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Petr Orlowski at 54.3%
79 points played in total.
H2H Premysl Rucky 1–1 Petr Orlowski Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:04What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Orlowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rucky 1507 vs Orlowski 1668
Orlowski
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rucky 40% vs Orlowski 100%
Orlowski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rucky 40% vs Orlowski 80%
Orlowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rucky -1 · Orlowski +5
Orlowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Orlowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Orlowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRucky 2.10 / Orlowski 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Orlowski)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13073975
Rucky2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog56% won 9 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back38% 3 of 8
Orlowski1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 55 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it73% 41 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRucky1wins
AwayOrlowski1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricRuckyOrlowskiR − OBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match32.538.5−6.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuckyOrlowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime29 / 62 vs 176 / 33346.8%52.9%29 / 62 vs 176 / 333Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.840.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrlowskiRucky 2.10/Orlowski 1.67
Hit
What we said
56.6%
Orlowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Orlowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 25 · 18:45P. Rucky—7590P. Orlowski—1111113
WMay 29 · 19:15P. Rucky—1101111113P. Orlowski—11128582
P. Rucky10
LSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161LSep 4 · 18:30P. Rucky2.00611781D. Brichacek1.7311811113WSep 4 · 17:30P. Rucky1.611513118113P. Hala2.20131561192WAug 25 · 20:48P. Rucky1.7351114113T. Hanke2.001151281LAug 25 · 19:45T. Hanke2.25117511113P. Rucky1.5731111852LAug 25 · 18:45P. Orlowski2.101111113P. Rucky1.677590LAug 25 · 17:15J. Jnr1.5320127113P. Rucky2.3818101181WAug 21 · 20:39S. Kalensky2.50117561P. Rucky1.5061111113LAug 21 · 19:30P. Rucky1.83961181A. Pavlik1.8311119113WAug 21 · 18:30P. Rucky1.61101111123S. Kalensky2.201298101
P. Orlowski10
WSep 6 · 08:34P. Orlowski1.73111114133R. Merkl2.009416111LSep 6 · 07:30R. Merkl1.9171111113P. Orlowski1.80119891WSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371WSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski2.00131110163P. Hala1.7311712141LSep 4 · 21:33D. Brichacek2.20611211113P. Orlowski1.6111811592WSep 4 · 19:00P. Orlowski1.91119211123P. Hala1.80811118102WSep 4 · 18:00P. Orlowski2.1011116113D. Brichacek1.67871161WAug 31 · 20:58P. Orlowski1.73911119113J. Gruber2.0011791182WAug 31 · 19:45P. Orlowski1.44121211113V. Herrmann2.631014951WAug 25 · 18:45P. Orlowski2.101111113P. Rucky1.677590
Upcoming Matches
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P. Orlowski
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