TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13008527
Played Aug 25Finished
Tomas Hanke
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
113711511118115
Premysl Rucky
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:35 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timePremysl Rucky to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Hanke above · Premysl Rucky below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 83 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Premysl Rucky at 60.9%
83 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hanke 2–2 Premysl Rucky Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:35What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Rucky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hanke 1549 vs Rucky 1507
Hanke
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanke 40% vs Rucky 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanke 40% vs Rucky 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanke -2 · Rucky -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Rucky) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rucky form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanke 2.25 / Rucky 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Rucky)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13008527
Hanke2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 32 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back33% 9 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Rucky1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite44% won 11 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it71% 5 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHanke2wins
AwayRucky2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanke2Rucky2n = 4split evenly
S2Hanke2Rucky2n = 4split evenly
S3Hanke2Rucky2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricHankeRuckyH − RBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match35.035.2−0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHankeRuckyBasisWin rate · lifetime283 / 520 vs 27 / 5954.4%45.8%283 / 520 vs 27 / 59Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuckyHanke 2.25/Rucky 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Rucky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hanke won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 25 · 19:45T. Hanke—117511113P. Rucky—31111852
LJul 17 · 20:00T. Hanke—6290P. Rucky—1111113
LJul 10 · 20:28T. Hanke—91211492P. Rucky—1110511113
WJul 10 · 19:30T. Hanke—1111113P. Rucky—7870
T. Hanke10
LSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:15M. Taranko1.917860T. Hanke1.801111113LSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113LSep 6 · 05:45T. Hanke2.001191061L. Stoces1.7391112113LSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181WSep 5 · 19:30T. Hanke1.73117116113O. Chadima2.0071181172LSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113LSep 5 · 17:30T. Hanke1.6181181162J. Juppa2.20116117113LAug 28 · 20:28D. Brichacek1.671111113T. Hanke2.105440LAug 28 · 19:30T. Hanke2.10611512122D. Brichacek1.671161110143
P. Rucky10
LSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161LSep 4 · 19:30P. Rucky2.1083111152P. Orlowski1.67111153113LSep 4 · 18:30P. Rucky2.00611781D. Brichacek1.7311811113WSep 4 · 17:30P. Rucky1.611513118113P. Hala2.20131561192WAug 25 · 20:48P. Rucky1.7351114113T. Hanke2.001151281LAug 25 · 18:45P. Orlowski2.101111113P. Rucky1.677590LAug 25 · 17:15J. Jnr1.5320127113P. Rucky2.3818101181WAug 21 · 20:39S. Kalensky2.50117561P. Rucky1.5061111113LAug 21 · 19:30P. Rucky1.83961181A. Pavlik1.8311119113WAug 21 · 18:30P. Rucky1.61101111123S. Kalensky2.201298101
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.