TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073973
Played Sep 4Finished
Premysl Rucky
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611118711811––
David Brichacek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:04 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeDavid Brichacek to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPremysl Rucky above · David Brichacek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held David Brichacek at 54.1%
73 points played in total.
H2H Premysl Rucky 4–6 David Brichacek Premysl Rucky has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:04What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Brichacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Brichacek
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rucky 1501 vs Brichacek 1646
Brichacek
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rucky 40% vs Brichacek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rucky 50% vs Brichacek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rucky +2 · Brichacek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brichacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brichacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRucky 2.00 / Brichacek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Brichacek)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13073973
Rucky2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog56% won 9 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back38% 3 of 8
Brichacek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 107 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it77% 78 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRucky4wins
AwayBrichacek6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBrichacek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRucky33.3%2 of 6
AwayBrichacek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rucky6Brichacek4n = 10Rucky took 6 of 10
S2Rucky4Brichacek6n = 10Brichacek took 6 of 10
S3Rucky5Brichacek5n = 10split evenly
S4Rucky3Brichacek5n = 8Brichacek took 5 of 8
S5Rucky2Brichacek3n = 5Brichacek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuckyBrichacekR − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.940.8−2.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuckyBrichacekBasisWin rate · lifetime29 / 62 vs 156 / 30246.8%51.7%29 / 62 vs 156 / 302Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrichacekRucky 2.00/Brichacek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Brichacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Brichacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 18:30P. Rucky—611781D. Brichacek—11811113
WAug 7 · 20:43P. Rucky—1113133D. Brichacek—411110
LAug 7 · 17:15P. Rucky—11411662D. Brichacek—911911113
WJul 30 · 20:28P. Rucky—11164113D. Brichacek—8141131
LJul 30 · 17:30P. Rucky—12511672D. Brichacek—1011911113
LJul 17 · 20:58P. Rucky—8380D. Brichacek—1111113
WJul 17 · 17:30P. Rucky—912119113D. Brichacek—111041132
LJun 25 · 20:38P. Rucky—111071162D. Brichacek—412118113
LJun 25 · 19:30P. Rucky—112871D. Brichacek—81111113
WJun 10 · 19:30P. Rucky—931111113D. Brichacek—11116872
P. Rucky10
LSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161LSep 4 · 19:30P. Rucky2.1083111152P. Orlowski1.67111153113WSep 4 · 17:30P. Rucky1.611513118113P. Hala2.20131561192WAug 25 · 20:48P. Rucky1.7351114113T. Hanke2.001151281LAug 25 · 19:45T. Hanke2.25117511113P. Rucky1.5731111852LAug 25 · 18:45P. Orlowski2.101111113P. Rucky1.677590LAug 25 · 17:15J. Jnr1.5320127113P. Rucky2.3818101181WAug 21 · 20:39S. Kalensky2.50117561P. Rucky1.5061111113LAug 21 · 19:30P. Rucky1.83961181A. Pavlik1.8311119113WAug 21 · 18:30P. Rucky1.61101111123S. Kalensky2.201298101
D. Brichacek10
WSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:45L. Stoces2.3886121122D. Brichacek1.531111106113WSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113WSep 6 · 05:15M. Taranko2.104960D. Brichacek1.671111113LSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113WSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250WSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113WSep 5 · 18:00O. Chadima3.508370D. Brichacek1.281111113WSep 4 · 21:33D. Brichacek2.20611211113P. Orlowski1.6111811592WSep 4 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.91115179113P. Hala1.80311151162
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