TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084413
Played Sep 6Finished
Mikhail Taranko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411911611––––
David Brichacek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:21 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeDavid Brichacek to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMikhail Taranko above · David Brichacek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 52 set 3, 6-11 — our read held David Brichacek at 58.2%
52 points played in total.
H2H Mikhail Taranko 3–2 David Brichacek David Brichacek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:21What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Brichacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taranko 1512 vs Brichacek 1688
Brichacek
Correct
both rated, 177 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taranko 80% vs Brichacek 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taranko 40% vs Brichacek 70%
Brichacek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Taranko -1 · Brichacek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Brichacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brichacek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaranko 2.10 / Brichacek 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Brichacek)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13084413
Taranko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 23 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back39% 10 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Brichacek1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 110 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it94% 61 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it78% 81 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeTaranko3wins
AwayBrichacek2wins
Taranko leads 3–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTaranko100%3 of 3
AwayBrichacekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taranko3Brichacek2n = 5Taranko took 3 of 5
S2Taranko3Brichacek2n = 5Taranko took 3 of 5
S3Taranko2Brichacek3n = 5Brichacek took 3 of 5
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricTarankoBrichacekT − BBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match31.430.2+1.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTarankoBrichacekBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 152 vs 161 / 30848.7%52.3%74 / 152 vs 161 / 308Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrichacekTaranko 2.10/Brichacek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.2%
Brichacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Brichacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJun 20 · 05:45M. Taranko—61040D. Brichacek—1112113
LJun 6 · 08:49M. Taranko—97140D. Brichacek—1111163
WJun 6 · 05:15M. Taranko—1112113D. Brichacek—71090
WMay 31 · 05:45M. Taranko—11117113D. Brichacek—891171
WMay 17 · 05:45M. Taranko—1111113D. Brichacek—6930
M. Taranko10
LSep 6 · 08:29L. Stoces1.221112113M. Taranko4.0051070LSep 6 · 07:15M. Taranko1.917860T. Hanke1.801111113WSep 6 · 06:15M. Taranko2.504111410143L. Stoces1.501191212122LAug 29 · 08:23L. Hendrych2.101611911113M. Taranko1.67146111392WAug 29 · 07:15M. Taranko1.80121299113L. Hendrych1.911010111162WAug 29 · 06:15M. Taranko1.53311114113F. Kubos2.3811771172WAug 29 · 05:15M. Taranko2.101191211123T. Bertho1.67911146102WAug 22 · 08:39J. Snr2.63511991M. Taranko1.4411711113LAug 22 · 07:15M. Taranko1.361111119142J. Snr3.00613811163LAug 22 · 06:15M. Taranko1.671313271S. Kalensky2.10151111113
D. Brichacek10
WSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:45L. Stoces2.3886121122D. Brichacek1.531111106113WSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113LSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113WSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250WSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113WSep 5 · 18:00O. Chadima3.508370D. Brichacek1.281111113WSep 4 · 21:33D. Brichacek2.20611211113P. Orlowski1.6111811592WSep 4 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.91115179113P. Hala1.80311151162WSep 4 · 18:30P. Rucky2.00611781D. Brichacek1.7311811113
Upcoming Matches
M. Taranko
Nothing scheduled
D. Brichacek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.