TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079461
Played Sep 4Finished
David Brichacek
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611118211115119
Petr Orlowski
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
How it is goingDavid Brichacek above · Petr Orlowski below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 85 set 5, 11-9
85 points played in total.
H2H David Brichacek 5–5 Petr Orlowski Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Orlowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Orlowski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrichacek 2.20 / Orlowski 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Orlowski)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13079461
Brichacek2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 47 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back36% 23 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 32
Orlowski1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 55 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it73% 41 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrichacek5wins
AwayOrlowski5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrichacek71.4%5 of 7
AwayOrlowski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brichacek7Orlowski3n = 10Brichacek took 7 of 10
S2Brichacek7Orlowski3n = 10Brichacek took 7 of 10
S3Brichacek5Orlowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Brichacek3Orlowski5n = 8Orlowski took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrichacekOrlowskiB − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.339.0+1.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrichacekOrlowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime157 / 303 vs 178 / 33551.8%53.1%157 / 303 vs 178 / 335Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.340.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrlowskiBrichacek 2.20/Orlowski 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Orlowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Brichacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 18:00D. Brichacek—871161P. Orlowski—11116113
LAug 23 · 06:45D. Brichacek—111179122P. Orlowski—821111143
LAug 20 · 17:45D. Brichacek—1011116112P. Orlowski—129711133
WAug 13 · 18:15D. Brichacek—1111113P. Orlowski—9480
LJul 13 · 18:00D. Brichacek—6111231P. Orlowski—11914113
WJul 7 · 19:00D. Brichacek—11114143P. Orlowski—7711121
WJun 5 · 20:43D. Brichacek—1511133P. Orlowski—136110
WJun 5 · 17:45D. Brichacek—11911113P. Orlowski—811991
LApr 29 · 18:30D. Brichacek—11123111P. Orlowski—61411133
WMar 19 · 19:00D. Brichacek—111112153P. Orlowski—7514131
D. Brichacek10
WSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:45L. Stoces2.3886121122D. Brichacek1.531111106113WSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113WSep 6 · 05:15M. Taranko2.104960D. Brichacek1.671111113LSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113WSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250WSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113WSep 5 · 18:00O. Chadima3.508370D. Brichacek1.281111113WSep 4 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.91115179113P. Hala1.80311151162WSep 4 · 18:30P. Rucky2.00611781D. Brichacek1.7311811113
P. Orlowski10
WSep 6 · 08:34P. Orlowski1.73111114133R. Merkl2.009416111LSep 6 · 07:30R. Merkl1.9171111113P. Orlowski1.80119891WSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371WSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski2.00131110163P. Hala1.7311712141WSep 4 · 19:30P. Rucky2.1083111152P. Orlowski1.67111153113WSep 4 · 19:00P. Orlowski1.91119211123P. Hala1.80811118102WSep 4 · 18:00P. Orlowski2.1011116113D. Brichacek1.67871161WAug 31 · 20:58P. Orlowski1.73911119113J. Gruber2.0011791182WAug 31 · 19:45P. Orlowski1.44121211113V. Herrmann2.631014951WAug 31 · 18:15J. Gruber1.91412931P. Orlowski1.80111011113
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