TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055491
Played Aug 31Finished
Petr Orlowski
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911117119911118
Josef Gruber
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPetr Orlowski above · Josef Gruber below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 97 set 5, 11-8
97 points played in total.
H2H Petr Orlowski 11–6 Josef Gruber Josef Gruber has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Orlowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gruber form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOrlowski 1.73 / Gruber 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Orlowski)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13055491
Orlowski1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 53 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it73% 40 of 55
Gruber2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 9 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back39% 5 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOrlowski6wins
AwayGruber4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderOrlowski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOrlowski62.5%5 of 8
AwayGrubern = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Orlowski8Gruber2n = 10Orlowski took 8 of 10
S2Orlowski5Gruber5n = 10split evenly
S3Orlowski8Gruber2n = 10Orlowski took 8 of 10
S4Orlowski5Gruber3n = 8Orlowski took 5 of 8
S5Orlowski0Gruber4n = 4Gruber took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOrlowskiGruberO − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.335.7+5.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOrlowskiGruberBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 331 vs 120 / 20952.6%57.4%174 / 331 vs 120 / 209Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.439.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrlowskiOrlowski 1.73/Gruber 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Orlowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Orlowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 18:15P. Orlowski—111011113J. Gruber—412931
LJul 20 · 19:15P. Orlowski—11214972J. Gruber—5111211113
WJul 14 · 21:03P. Orlowski—11811113J. Gruber—611941
WJul 14 · 18:30P. Orlowski—1111123J. Gruber—72100
LJun 30 · 19:00P. Orlowski—1110101122J. Gruber—412126113
LMay 19 · 17:15P. Orlowski—71111882J. Gruber—117911113
LApr 16 · 20:42P. Orlowski—11811782J. Gruber—611911113
WApr 16 · 19:30P. Orlowski—91111113J. Gruber—117791
WJan 26 · 19:45P. Orlowski—11118113J. Gruber—871171
WJan 12 · 18:45P. Orlowski—1113113J. Gruber—31170
P. Orlowski10
WSep 6 · 08:34P. Orlowski1.73111114133R. Merkl2.009416111LSep 6 · 07:30R. Merkl1.9171111113P. Orlowski1.80119891WSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371WSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski2.00131110163P. Hala1.7311712141LSep 4 · 21:33D. Brichacek2.20611211113P. Orlowski1.6111811592WSep 4 · 19:30P. Rucky2.1083111152P. Orlowski1.67111153113WSep 4 · 19:00P. Orlowski1.91119211123P. Hala1.80811118102WSep 4 · 18:00P. Orlowski2.1011116113D. Brichacek1.67871161WAug 31 · 19:45P. Orlowski1.44121211113V. Herrmann2.631014951WAug 31 · 18:15J. Gruber1.91412931P. Orlowski1.80111011113
J. Gruber10
WAug 31 · 19:15J. Gruber1.361111113O. Chadima3.004740LAug 31 · 18:15J. Gruber1.91412931P. Orlowski1.80111011113WAug 31 · 17:15J. Gruber1.3611116113V. Herrmann3.00791171WAug 18 · 21:10P. Maly2.25513110J. Gruber1.571115133WAug 18 · 19:30J. Gruber1.8311713123A. Pavlik1.8331111101WAug 18 · 18:30J. Gruber1.40111111113R. Merkl2.75451361LAug 18 · 17:30J. Gruber1.539511101P. Maly2.3811118123WAug 4 · 20:33R. Merkl2.639990J. Gruber1.441111113LAug 4 · 19:30J. Gruber1.3389111192O. Chadima3.25111192113LAug 4 · 18:30J. Gruber1.738880T. Hanke2.001111113
Upcoming Matches
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