TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12362521
Played Aug 4Finished
Roman Merkl
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911911––––
Josef Gruber
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingRoman Merkl above · Josef Gruber below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 60 set 3, 9-11
60 points played in total.
H2H Roman Merkl 3–5 Josef Gruber Roman Merkl has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Gruber)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMerkl 2.63 / Gruber 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (Gruber)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12362521
Merkl2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog48% won 90 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back39% 41 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back20% 10 of 50
Gruber1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 49 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it86% 37 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMerkl3wins
AwayGruber5wins
2 of 8 to a deciderGruber leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMerkl75%3 of 4
AwayGruber100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Merkl4Gruber4n = 8split evenly
S2Merkl3Gruber5n = 8Gruber took 5 of 8
S3Merkl4Gruber4n = 8split evenly
S4Merkl2Gruber4n = 6Gruber took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricMerklGruberM − GBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match38.142.4−4.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMerklGruberBasisWin rate · lifetime269 / 562 vs 121 / 22047.9%55%269 / 562 vs 121 / 220Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GruberMerkl 2.63/Gruber 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Gruber · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gruber won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 4 · 17:30R. Merkl—9611111J. Gruber—11114133
LJul 31 · 18:00R. Merkl—1278101J. Gruber—101111123
WMay 8 · 17:45R. Merkl—1141411133J. Gruber—911169112
LMar 28 · 06:30R. Merkl—66110J. Gruber—1111133
WMar 14 · 07:45R. Merkl—11113113J. Gruber—861191
LMar 2 · 20:00R. Merkl—71112422J. Gruber—1151011113
LFeb 28 · 09:53R. Merkl—16131161J. Gruber—18159113
WFeb 28 · 07:45R. Merkl—1211143J. Gruber—108120
R. Merkl10
LSep 6 · 08:34P. Orlowski1.73111114133R. Merkl2.009416111WSep 6 · 07:30R. Merkl1.9171111113P. Orlowski1.80119891LSep 6 · 06:30R. Merkl2.10231111102P. Hala1.67111177123WSep 6 · 05:30R. Merkl2.3814711123M. Hajek1.5312117101LSep 2 · 21:04M. Hajek1.611111133R. Merkl2.2026110WSep 2 · 19:30J. Jnr1.8039100R. Merkl1.911111123WSep 2 · 19:00R. Merkl1.911111113P. Maly1.808960LSep 2 · 18:00R. Merkl2.251481191M. Hajek1.5716116113WAug 30 · 08:29R. Merkl1.911191111123A. Pavlik1.80611139102LAug 30 · 08:00R. Merkl2.38614671L. Kolman1.53111211113
J. Gruber10
LAug 31 · 20:58P. Orlowski1.73911119113J. Gruber2.0011791182WAug 31 · 19:15J. Gruber1.361111113O. Chadima3.004740LAug 31 · 18:15J. Gruber1.91412931P. Orlowski1.80111011113WAug 31 · 17:15J. Gruber1.3611116113V. Herrmann3.00791171WAug 18 · 21:10P. Maly2.25513110J. Gruber1.571115133WAug 18 · 19:30J. Gruber1.8311713123A. Pavlik1.8331111101WAug 18 · 18:30J. Gruber1.40111111113R. Merkl2.75451361LAug 18 · 17:30J. Gruber1.539511101P. Maly2.3811118123LAug 4 · 19:30J. Gruber1.3389111192O. Chadima3.25111192113LAug 4 · 18:30J. Gruber1.738880T. Hanke2.001111113
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