TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067278
Played Sep 2Finished
Miroslav Hajek
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1121161311––––
Roman Merkl
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMiroslav Hajek above · Roman Merkl below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 54 set 3, 13-11
54 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Hajek 22–13 Roman Merkl Roman Merkl has won 13 of their 35 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hajek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Merkl form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHajek 1.61 / Merkl 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Hajek)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13067278
Hajek1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 74 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it76% 57 of 75
Merkl2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 94 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back37% 43 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back19% 10 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHajek7wins
AwayMerkl3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHajek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHajek87.5%7 of 8
AwayMerkln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hajek8Merkl2n = 10Hajek took 8 of 10
S2Hajek5Merkl5n = 10split evenly
S3Hajek6Merkl4n = 10Hajek took 6 of 10
S4Hajek3Merkl5n = 8Merkl took 5 of 8
S5Hajek3Merkl1n = 4Hajek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHajekMerklH − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.839.3+2.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHajekMerklBasisWin rate · lifetime367 / 675 vs 275 / 57054.4%48.3%367 / 675 vs 275 / 570Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.139.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekHajek 1.61/Merkl 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hajek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 18:00M. Hajek—16116113R. Merkl—1481191
WAug 28 · 20:50M. Hajek—119116113R. Merkl—51191172
LAug 28 · 19:45M. Hajek—1081341R. Merkl—121111113
WAug 7 · 13:30M. Hajek—118711113R. Merkl—91111452
WNov 1 · 09:00M. Hajek—1112113R. Merkl—41070
WJul 30 · 13:15M. Hajek—1111113R. Merkl—9560
LJul 30 · 08:37M. Hajek—411145112R. Merkl—1181211133
WJul 30 · 06:30M. Hajek—111186133R. Merkl—781111112
WJul 27 · 06:15M. Hajek—11911133R. Merkl—4119111
LJul 21 · 19:15M. Hajek—11105121R. Merkl—71211143
M. Hajek10
LSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:15A. Pavlik2.2551490M. Hajek1.571116103LSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113WSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123LSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371LSep 6 · 05:30R. Merkl2.3814711123M. Hajek1.5312117101WSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113LSep 4 · 11:45M. Hajek1.73116571Z. Vasatko2.0091111113
R. Merkl10
LSep 6 · 08:34P. Orlowski1.73111114133R. Merkl2.009416111WSep 6 · 07:30R. Merkl1.9171111113P. Orlowski1.80119891LSep 6 · 06:30R. Merkl2.10231111102P. Hala1.67111177123WSep 6 · 05:30R. Merkl2.3814711123M. Hajek1.5312117101WSep 2 · 19:30J. Jnr1.8039100R. Merkl1.911111123WSep 2 · 19:00R. Merkl1.911111113P. Maly1.808960LSep 2 · 18:00R. Merkl2.251481191M. Hajek1.5716116113WAug 30 · 08:29R. Merkl1.911191111123A. Pavlik1.80611139102LAug 30 · 08:00R. Merkl2.38614671L. Kolman1.53111211113LAug 30 · 06:30T. Kanka1.731111133R. Merkl2.0086110
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