TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072997
Played Sep 4Finished
Miroslav Hajek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119611511711––
Zdenek Vasatko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Hajek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMiroslav Hajek above · Zdenek Vasatko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 71 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Miroslav Hajek at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Hajek 11–8 Zdenek Vasatko Zdenek Vasatko has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:49What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hajek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-8 in 19
Hajek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hajek 1691 vs Vasatko 1636
Hajek
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hajek 80% vs Vasatko 0%
Hajek
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hajek 70% vs Vasatko 30%
Hajek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hajek -1 · Vasatko -5
Vasatko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hajek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasatko form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHajek 1.73 / Vasatko 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Hajek)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13072997
Hajek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 77 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it77% 60 of 78
Vasatko2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 26 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHajek6wins
AwayVasatko4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHajek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHajek100%5 of 5
AwayVasatko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hajek5Vasatko5n = 10split evenly
S2Hajek6Vasatko4n = 10Hajek took 6 of 10
S3Hajek6Vasatko4n = 10Hajek took 6 of 10
S4Hajek4Vasatko1n = 5Hajek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHajekVasatkoH − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.131.7+2.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHajekVasatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime365 / 670 vs 136 / 27854.5%48.9%365 / 670 vs 136 / 278Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.136.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekHajek 1.73/Vasatko 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vasatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 11:45M. Hajek—11814113Z. Vasatko—9111231
WAug 1 · 13:30M. Hajek—71112113Z. Vasatko—1191041
LMay 20 · 15:15M. Hajek—81171182Z. Vasatko—119113113
WMay 14 · 11:45M. Hajek—11117113Z. Vasatko—451131
WMay 12 · 13:45M. Hajek—1111113Z. Vasatko—7990
WMay 7 · 06:15M. Hajek—1111113Z. Vasatko—6680
LMay 4 · 10:15M. Hajek—9850Z. Vasatko—1111113
LMay 2 · 10:15M. Hajek—9340Z. Vasatko—1111113
WMay 1 · 11:45M. Hajek—1111113Z. Vasatko—8990
LApr 3 · 15:45M. Hajek—951281Z. Vasatko—111110113
M. Hajek10
LSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:15A. Pavlik2.2551490M. Hajek1.571116103LSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113WSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123LSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371LSep 6 · 05:30R. Merkl2.3814711123M. Hajek1.5312117101WSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113LSep 4 · 10:15T. Hucko1.801113113M. Hajek1.9191170
Z. Vasatko10
WSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162LSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382WSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101WSep 5 · 13:45Z. Vasatko2.00111192M. Svitac1.739990LSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113LSep 4 · 10:45M. Svitac1.911111113Z. Vasatko1.808150LSep 4 · 09:15T. Hucko1.8351111113Z. Vasatko1.83116871LAug 31 · 16:38L. Kolman2.001111113Z. Vasatko1.738340LAug 31 · 15:30Z. Vasatko1.8011125772L. Provaznik1.917101111113LAug 31 · 14:30Z. Vasatko1.7311119772L. Kolman2.00921111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Hajek
Nothing scheduled
Z. Vasatko
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