TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073433
Played Sep 4Finished
Tomas Hucko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511116118117––
Zdenek Vasatko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Hucko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Hucko above · Zdenek Vasatko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 70 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Tomas Hucko at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hucko 14–11 Zdenek Vasatko Zdenek Vasatko has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:48What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vasatko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-11 in 25
Hucko
Correct
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hucko 1623 vs Vasatko 1662
Vasatko
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hucko 60% vs Vasatko 20%
Hucko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hucko 40% vs Vasatko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hucko +3 · Vasatko -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hucko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasatko form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHucko 1.83 / Vasatko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hucko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13073433
Hucko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Vasatko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHucko5wins
AwayVasatko5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHucko75%3 of 4
AwayVasatko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hucko4Vasatko6n = 10Vasatko took 6 of 10
S2Hucko8Vasatko2n = 10Hucko took 8 of 10
S3Hucko4Vasatko6n = 10Vasatko took 6 of 10
S4Hucko3Vasatko5n = 8Vasatko took 5 of 8
S5Hucko3Vasatko3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHuckoVasatkoH − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.339.3+3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHuckoVasatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 336 vs 136 / 27652.1%49.3%175 / 336 vs 136 / 276Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HuckoHucko 1.83/Vasatko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hucko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hucko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 10:15T. Hucko—121191062Z. Vasatko—1051112113
WAug 25 · 09:15T. Hucko—9111011113Z. Vasatko—11812472
LMay 23 · 10:45T. Hucko—117100Z. Vasatko—1311123
WApr 21 · 08:43T. Hucko—111189113Z. Vasatko—49111162
LApr 21 · 07:45T. Hucko—6111331Z. Vasatko—11915113
LApr 4 · 14:15T. Hucko—84111152Z. Vasatko—111159113
WMar 13 · 14:45T. Hucko—111197113Z. Vasatko—67111132
WFeb 17 · 13:16T. Hucko—101111113Z. Vasatko—124341
LFeb 17 · 10:15T. Hucko—812116122Z. Vasatko—1110511143
WFeb 14 · 13:20T. Hucko—1111103Z. Vasatko—3890
T. Hucko10
WSep 4 · 12:13M. Svitac1.7313580T. Hucko2.001511113LSep 4 · 11:15T. Hucko2.0015414462M. Svitac1.7313111211113WSep 4 · 10:15T. Hucko1.801113113M. Hajek1.9191170WSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262WSep 1 · 19:15P. Maly2.388990T. Hucko1.531111113WSep 1 · 18:45T. Hucko1.67911114113P. Provaznik2.1011981162LSep 1 · 17:45T. Hucko1.80111264102M. Hajek1.917101111123LAug 27 · 12:48L. Kolman2.001181114113T. Hucko1.7371151692WAug 27 · 11:45T. Hucko1.73711811113L. Kolman2.0011911962LAug 27 · 10:15Z. Vasatko1.831051112113T. Hucko1.83121191062
Z. Vasatko10
WSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162LSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382WSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101WSep 5 · 13:45Z. Vasatko2.00111192M. Svitac1.739990LSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113WSep 4 · 11:45M. Hajek1.73116571Z. Vasatko2.0091111113LSep 4 · 10:45M. Svitac1.911111113Z. Vasatko1.808150LAug 31 · 16:38L. Kolman2.001111113Z. Vasatko1.738340LAug 31 · 15:30Z. Vasatko1.8011125772L. Provaznik1.917101111113WAug 27 · 10:15Z. Vasatko1.831051112113T. Hucko1.83121191062
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