TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055096
Played Sep 1Finished
Tomas Hucko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11712106114111012
Miroslav Hajek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Hucko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Hucko above · Miroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 94 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Tomas Hucko at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hucko 36–31 Miroslav Hajek Miroslav Hajek has won 31 of their 67 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:10What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hucko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-31 in 67
Hucko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hucko 1613 vs Hajek 1660
Hajek
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hucko 20% vs Hajek 80%
Hajek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hucko 50% vs Hajek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hucko -1 · Hajek +3
Hajek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hucko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hajek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHucko 1.80 / Hajek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hucko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13055096
Hucko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite50% won 30 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it63% 19 of 30
Hajek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 50 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back30% 18 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHucko6wins
AwayHajek4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHucko leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHucko100%5 of 5
AwayHajek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hucko5Hajek5n = 10split evenly
S2Hucko6Hajek4n = 10Hucko took 6 of 10
S3Hucko3Hajek7n = 10Hajek took 7 of 10
S4Hucko6Hajek3n = 9Hucko took 6 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHuckoHajekHucko − HajekBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.235.4+1.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHuckoHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime172 / 332 vs 362 / 66851.8%54.2%172 / 332 vs 362 / 668Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HuckoHucko 1.80/Hajek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hucko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hajek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 12:49T. Hucko—1111861M. Hajek—13711113
WAug 25 · 10:15T. Hucko—11119123M. Hajek—8311101
WAug 18 · 07:15T. Hucko—1141111113M. Hajek—51113972
WAug 16 · 12:14T. Hucko—12911113M. Hajek—1011441
WAug 16 · 11:15T. Hucko—111011113M. Hajek—612581
WAug 7 · 06:15T. Hucko—91111113M. Hajek—117231
LAug 6 · 06:15T. Hucko—611431M. Hajek—11711113
WMay 21 · 08:44T. Hucko—11118113M. Hajek—581181
LMay 21 · 07:45T. Hucko—1411451M. Hajek—16911113
LMay 13 · 06:15T. Hucko—4950M. Hajek—1111113
T. Hucko10
WSep 4 · 12:13M. Svitac1.7313580T. Hucko2.001511113LSep 4 · 11:15T. Hucko2.0015414462M. Svitac1.7313111211113WSep 4 · 10:15T. Hucko1.801113113M. Hajek1.9191170WSep 4 · 09:15T. Hucko1.8351111113Z. Vasatko1.83116871WSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262WSep 1 · 19:15P. Maly2.388990T. Hucko1.531111113WSep 1 · 18:45T. Hucko1.67911114113P. Provaznik2.1011981162LAug 27 · 12:48L. Kolman2.001181114113T. Hucko1.7371151692WAug 27 · 11:45T. Hucko1.73711811113L. Kolman2.0011911962LAug 27 · 10:15Z. Vasatko1.831051112113T. Hucko1.83121191062
M. Hajek10
LSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:15A. Pavlik2.2551490M. Hajek1.571116103LSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113WSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123LSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371LSep 6 · 05:30R. Merkl2.3814711123M. Hajek1.5312117101WSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113LSep 4 · 10:15T. Hucko1.801113113M. Hajek1.9191170
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