TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072998
Played Sep 4Finished
Tomas Hucko
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191311117––––
Miroslav Hajek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Hucko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Hucko above · Miroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 62 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Tomas Hucko at 54.0%
62 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hucko 37–32 Miroslav Hajek Miroslav Hajek has won 32 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:51What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hucko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-32 in 69
Hucko
Correct
gap of 5 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hucko 1653 vs Hajek 1691
Hajek
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hucko 80% vs Hajek 100%
Hajek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hucko 50% vs Hajek 80%
Hajek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hucko +4 · Hajek +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hucko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hajek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHucko 1.80 / Hajek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hucko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13072998
Hucko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 32 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it64% 21 of 33
Hajek1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 51 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back32% 19 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHucko7wins
AwayHajek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHucko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHucko85.7%6 of 7
AwayHajek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hucko7Hajek3n = 10Hucko took 7 of 10
S2Hucko7Hajek3n = 10Hucko took 7 of 10
S3Hucko4Hajek6n = 10Hajek took 6 of 10
S4Hucko6Hajek3n = 9Hucko took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHuckoHajekHucko − HajekBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.835.2+4.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHuckoHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 334 vs 365 / 67052.7%54.5%176 / 334 vs 365 / 670Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.540.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HuckoHucko 1.80/Hajek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hucko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hucko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 10:15T. Hucko—1113113M. Hajek—91170
LSep 1 · 17:45T. Hucko—111264102M. Hajek—7101111123
LAug 25 · 12:49T. Hucko—1111861M. Hajek—13711113
WAug 25 · 10:15T. Hucko—11119123M. Hajek—8311101
WAug 18 · 07:15T. Hucko—1141111113M. Hajek—51113972
WAug 16 · 12:14T. Hucko—12911113M. Hajek—1011441
WAug 16 · 11:15T. Hucko—111011113M. Hajek—612581
WAug 7 · 06:15T. Hucko—91111113M. Hajek—117231
LAug 6 · 06:15T. Hucko—611431M. Hajek—11711113
WMay 21 · 08:44T. Hucko—11118113M. Hajek—581181
T. Hucko10
WSep 4 · 12:13M. Svitac1.7313580T. Hucko2.001511113LSep 4 · 11:15T. Hucko2.0015414462M. Svitac1.7313111211113WSep 4 · 09:15T. Hucko1.8351111113Z. Vasatko1.83116871WSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262WSep 1 · 19:15P. Maly2.388990T. Hucko1.531111113WSep 1 · 18:45T. Hucko1.67911114113P. Provaznik2.1011981162LSep 1 · 17:45T. Hucko1.80111264102M. Hajek1.917101111123LAug 27 · 12:48L. Kolman2.001181114113T. Hucko1.7371151692WAug 27 · 11:45T. Hucko1.73711811113L. Kolman2.0011911962LAug 27 · 10:15Z. Vasatko1.831051112113T. Hucko1.83121191062
M. Hajek10
LSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:15A. Pavlik2.2551490M. Hajek1.571116103LSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113WSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123LSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371LSep 6 · 05:30R. Merkl2.3814711123M. Hajek1.5312117101WSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113WSep 1 · 17:45T. Hucko1.80111264102M. Hajek1.917101111123
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