TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055467
Played Sep 1Finished
Tomas Hucko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911119118411116
Petr Provaznik
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeTomas Hucko to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Hucko above · Petr Provaznik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 91 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Tomas Hucko at 56.6%
91 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hucko 5–5 Petr Provaznik Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:06What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hucko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hucko 1596 vs Provaznik 1555
Hucko
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hucko 20% vs Provaznik 40%
Provaznik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hucko 40% vs Provaznik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hucko -2 · Provaznik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hucko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hucko form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHucko 1.67 / Provaznik 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Hucko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13055467
Hucko1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite50% won 30 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it63% 19 of 30
Provaznik2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 33 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back35% 15 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHucko5wins
AwayProvaznik5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHucko66.7%2 of 3
AwayProvaznik57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hucko3Provaznik7n = 10Provaznik took 7 of 10
S2Hucko6Provaznik4n = 10Hucko took 6 of 10
S3Hucko3Provaznik7n = 10Provaznik took 7 of 10
S4Hucko8Provaznik1n = 9Hucko took 8 of 9
S5Hucko2Provaznik3n = 5Provaznik took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHuckoProvaznikH − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.743.2−1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHuckoProvaznikBasisWin rate · lifetime172 / 333 vs 230 / 48351.7%47.6%172 / 333 vs 230 / 483Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HuckoHucko 1.67/Provaznik 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Hucko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hucko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 8 · 05:30T. Hucko—1311612113P. Provaznik—1113111092
WSep 25 · 12:00T. Hucko—81111123P. Provaznik—1198101
WAug 7 · 05:30T. Hucko—1481011113P. Provaznik—121112962
WJun 28 · 06:15T. Hucko—81111113P. Provaznik—114551
WJun 12 · 20:55T. Hucko—11211123P. Provaznik—11109101
LJun 12 · 18:45T. Hucko—814811112P. Provaznik—1112118133
LMay 2 · 16:55T. Hucko—911101192P. Provaznik—116129113
LMay 2 · 15:45T. Hucko—113101182P. Provaznik—811127113
LApr 18 · 05:30T. Hucko—7710P. Provaznik—1111113
LFeb 21 · 15:15T. Hucko—711581P. Provaznik—11611113
T. Hucko10
WSep 4 · 12:13M. Svitac1.7313580T. Hucko2.001511113LSep 4 · 11:15T. Hucko2.0015414462M. Svitac1.7313111211113WSep 4 · 10:15T. Hucko1.801113113M. Hajek1.9191170WSep 4 · 09:15T. Hucko1.8351111113Z. Vasatko1.83116871WSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262WSep 1 · 19:15P. Maly2.388990T. Hucko1.531111113LSep 1 · 17:45T. Hucko1.80111264102M. Hajek1.917101111123LAug 27 · 12:48L. Kolman2.001181114113T. Hucko1.7371151692WAug 27 · 11:45T. Hucko1.73711811113L. Kolman2.0011911962LAug 27 · 10:15Z. Vasatko1.831051112113T. Hucko1.83121191062
P. Provaznik10
WSep 4 · 16:34M. Bruk1.6551191112P. Provaznik2.10113118113LSep 4 · 15:15P. Provaznik1.91118111452O. Horak1.809111312113LSep 4 · 14:15P. Provaznik2.0011761172J. Simek1.73711117113LSep 4 · 13:15P. Provaznik2.001461181M. Bruk1.7316119113LSep 1 · 20:48P. Provaznik2.751071171M. Hajek1.4012116113WSep 1 · 19:45M. Hajek1.50101170P. Provaznik2.501213113LSep 1 · 17:15P. Maly1.7361111133P. Provaznik2.001187111WAug 28 · 20:19A. Pavlik1.679970P. Provaznik2.101111113LAug 28 · 19:15P. Provaznik1.80861191A. Pavlik1.9111114103LAug 28 · 18:15P. Provaznik2.509101121M. Hajek1.5011126113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.