TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13038112
Played Aug 28Finished
Adam Pavlik
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911711––––
Petr Provaznik
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingAdam Pavlik above · Petr Provaznik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 58 set 3, 7-11
58 points played in total.
H2H Adam Pavlik 9–14 Petr Provaznik Adam Pavlik has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Pavlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pavlik form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPavlik 1.67 / Provaznik 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Pavlik)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13038112
Pavlik1.67
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 37 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it85% 29 of 34
Provaznik2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 34 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back36% 15 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePavlik4wins
AwayProvaznik6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderProvaznik leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePavlik80%4 of 5
AwayProvaznik100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pavlik5Provaznik5n = 10split evenly
S2Pavlik5Provaznik5n = 10split evenly
S3Pavlik6Provaznik4n = 10Pavlik took 6 of 10
S4Pavlik3Provaznik2n = 5Pavlik took 3 of 5
S5Pavlik0Provaznik3n = 3Provaznik took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPavlikProvaznikPavlik − ProvaznikBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.235.7−2.5per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPavlikProvaznikBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 319 vs 229 / 48152%47.6%166 / 319 vs 229 / 481Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PavlikPavlik 1.67/Provaznik 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.2%
Pavlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Provaznik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 19:15A. Pavlik—11114103P. Provaznik—861191
LAug 6 · 16:48A. Pavlik—11771162P. Provaznik—811118113
LAug 6 · 13:15A. Pavlik—41060P. Provaznik—1112113
WJul 8 · 15:00A. Pavlik—1111113P. Provaznik—4560
WJun 29 · 16:48A. Pavlik—1113113P. Provaznik—81170
LJun 29 · 14:15A. Pavlik—47111642P. Provaznik—1111814113
LApr 15 · 16:28A. Pavlik—871181P. Provaznik—11116113
LApr 15 · 14:30A. Pavlik—111111642P. Provaznik—139811113
LApr 10 · 15:00A. Pavlik—8330P. Provaznik—1111113
WMar 23 · 16:00A. Pavlik—1111113P. Provaznik—6680
A. Pavlik10
LSep 6 · 20:23M. Svitac1.731112113A. Pavlik2.0071090LSep 6 · 19:15A. Pavlik2.00131181072L. Kolman1.731191112113LSep 6 · 18:15A. Pavlik1.83113471M. Svitac1.8391111113LSep 6 · 17:15A. Pavlik2.2551490M. Hajek1.571116103LAug 30 · 08:29R. Merkl1.911191111123A. Pavlik1.80611139102LAug 30 · 07:30T. Kanka1.80711119113A. Pavlik1.9111961192LAug 30 · 07:00A. Pavlik2.10101111742L. Kolman1.67129311113WAug 30 · 06:00A. Pavlik1.8011911153R. Merkl1.916117131WAug 28 · 19:15P. Provaznik1.80861191A. Pavlik1.9111114103WAug 28 · 18:45A. Pavlik1.831111113R. Merkl1.839970
P. Provaznik10
WSep 4 · 16:34M. Bruk1.6551191112P. Provaznik2.10113118113LSep 4 · 15:15P. Provaznik1.91118111452O. Horak1.809111312113LSep 4 · 14:15P. Provaznik2.0011761172J. Simek1.73711117113LSep 4 · 13:15P. Provaznik2.001461181M. Bruk1.7316119113LSep 1 · 20:48P. Provaznik2.751071171M. Hajek1.4012116113WSep 1 · 19:45M. Hajek1.50101170P. Provaznik2.501213113LSep 1 · 18:45T. Hucko1.67911114113P. Provaznik2.1011981162LSep 1 · 17:15P. Maly1.7361111133P. Provaznik2.001187111LAug 28 · 19:15P. Provaznik1.80861191A. Pavlik1.9111114103LAug 28 · 18:15P. Provaznik2.509101121M. Hajek1.5011126113
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