TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055431
Played Sep 1Finished
Miroslav Hajek
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10121113711––––
Petr Provaznik
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Hajek to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMiroslav Hajek above · Petr Provaznik below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 64 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Miroslav Hajek at 64.1%
64 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Hajek 50–30 Petr Provaznik Petr Provaznik has won 30 of their 80 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:56What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hajek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-30 in 80
Hajek
Wrong
gap of 20 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hajek 1662 vs Provaznik 1545
Hajek
Wrong
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hajek 80% vs Provaznik 20%
Hajek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hajek 60% vs Provaznik 30%
Hajek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hajek -1 · Provaznik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Hajek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Provaznik form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHajek 1.50 / Provaznik 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Hajek)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13055431
Hajek1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 73 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it76% 56 of 74
Provaznik2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 33 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back35% 15 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHajek6wins
AwayProvaznik4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHajek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHajek100%4 of 4
AwayProvaznik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hajek4Provaznik6n = 10Provaznik took 6 of 10
S2Hajek9Provaznik1n = 10Hajek took 9 of 10
S3Hajek6Provaznik4n = 10Hajek took 6 of 10
S4Hajek6Provaznik2n = 8Hajek took 6 of 8
S5Hajek1Provaznik4n = 5Provaznik took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHajekProvaznikH − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.538.1+3.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHajekProvaznikBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 670 vs 230 / 48454.2%47.5%363 / 670 vs 230 / 484Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekHajek 1.50/Provaznik 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Provaznik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 18:15M. Hajek—11126113P. Provaznik—9101121
WAug 14 · 10:00M. Hajek—71211123P. Provaznik—11109101
LMar 3 · 22:08M. Hajek—711101132P. Provaznik—116128113
WMar 3 · 21:00M. Hajek—613159113P. Provaznik—1111131182
LFeb 16 · 15:00M. Hajek—81141182P. Provaznik—117118113
WJan 7 · 20:30M. Hajek—1111113P. Provaznik—9870
LDec 17 · 18:15M. Hajek—106111182P. Provaznik—121144103
WDec 11 · 12:45M. Hajek—11118113P. Provaznik—761141
WDec 3 · 19:30M. Hajek—1111113P. Provaznik—6670
LNov 5 · 21:55M. Hajek—51111692P. Provaznik—118611113
M. Hajek10
LSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:15A. Pavlik2.2551490M. Hajek1.571116103LSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113WSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123LSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371LSep 6 · 05:30R. Merkl2.3814711123M. Hajek1.5312117101WSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113LSep 4 · 11:45M. Hajek1.73116571Z. Vasatko2.0091111113
P. Provaznik10
WSep 4 · 16:34M. Bruk1.6551191112P. Provaznik2.10113118113LSep 4 · 15:15P. Provaznik1.91118111452O. Horak1.809111312113LSep 4 · 14:15P. Provaznik2.0011761172J. Simek1.73711117113LSep 4 · 13:15P. Provaznik2.001461181M. Bruk1.7316119113LSep 1 · 20:48P. Provaznik2.751071171M. Hajek1.4012116113LSep 1 · 18:45T. Hucko1.67911114113P. Provaznik2.1011981162LSep 1 · 17:15P. Maly1.7361111133P. Provaznik2.001187111WAug 28 · 20:19A. Pavlik1.679970P. Provaznik2.101111113LAug 28 · 19:15P. Provaznik1.80861191A. Pavlik1.9111114103LAug 28 · 18:15P. Provaznik2.509101121M. Hajek1.5011126113
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