TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060819
Played Sep 1Finished
Petr Provaznik
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012711116711––
Miroslav Hajek
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingPetr Provaznik above · Miroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 75 set 4, 7-11
75 points played in total.
H2H Petr Provaznik 31–50 Miroslav Hajek Petr Provaznik has won 31 of their 81 meetings.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Hajek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hajek form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProvaznik 2.75 / Hajek 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Hajek)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13060819
Provaznik2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 33 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back35% 15 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Hajek1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 73 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it76% 56 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProvaznik4wins
AwayHajek6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHajek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProvaznik66.7%4 of 6
AwayHajek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Provaznik6Hajek4n = 10Provaznik took 6 of 10
S2Provaznik2Hajek8n = 10Hajek took 8 of 10
S3Provaznik5Hajek5n = 10split evenly
S4Provaznik1Hajek6n = 7Hajek took 6 of 7
S5Provaznik3Hajek1n = 4Provaznik took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricProvaznikHajekP − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.040.1−3.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProvaznikHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 485 vs 363 / 67147.6%54.1%231 / 485 vs 363 / 671Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.640.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekProvaznik 2.75/Hajek 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hajek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 19:45P. Provaznik—1213113M. Hajek—101170
LAug 28 · 18:15P. Provaznik—9101121M. Hajek—11126113
LAug 14 · 10:00P. Provaznik—11109101M. Hajek—71211123
WMar 3 · 22:08P. Provaznik—116128113M. Hajek—711101132
LMar 3 · 21:00P. Provaznik—1111131182M. Hajek—613159113
WFeb 16 · 15:00P. Provaznik—117118113M. Hajek—81141182
LJan 7 · 20:30P. Provaznik—9870M. Hajek—1111113
WDec 17 · 18:15P. Provaznik—121144103M. Hajek—106111182
LDec 11 · 12:45P. Provaznik—761141M. Hajek—11118113
LDec 3 · 19:30P. Provaznik—6670M. Hajek—1111113
P. Provaznik10
WSep 4 · 16:34M. Bruk1.6551191112P. Provaznik2.10113118113LSep 4 · 15:15P. Provaznik1.91118111452O. Horak1.809111312113LSep 4 · 14:15P. Provaznik2.0011761172J. Simek1.73711117113LSep 4 · 13:15P. Provaznik2.001461181M. Bruk1.7316119113WSep 1 · 19:45M. Hajek1.50101170P. Provaznik2.501213113LSep 1 · 18:45T. Hucko1.67911114113P. Provaznik2.1011981162LSep 1 · 17:15P. Maly1.7361111133P. Provaznik2.001187111WAug 28 · 20:19A. Pavlik1.679970P. Provaznik2.101111113LAug 28 · 19:15P. Provaznik1.80861191A. Pavlik1.9111114103LAug 28 · 18:15P. Provaznik2.509101121M. Hajek1.5011126113
M. Hajek10
LSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:15A. Pavlik2.2551490M. Hajek1.571116103LSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113WSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123LSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371LSep 6 · 05:30R. Merkl2.3814711123M. Hajek1.5312117101LSep 1 · 19:45M. Hajek1.50101170P. Provaznik2.501213113WAug 28 · 18:15P. Provaznik2.509101121M. Hajek1.5011126113
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