TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084165
Played Sep 6Finished
Matej Svitac
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111191210411511
Miroslav Hajek
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Hajek to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatej Svitac above · Miroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 92 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Miroslav Hajek at 58.1%
92 points played in total.
H2H Matej Svitac 16–27 Miroslav Hajek Matej Svitac has won 16 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:09What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hajek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-27 in 43
Hajek
Correct
gap of 11 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svitac 1659 vs Hajek 1661
Hajek
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svitac 60% vs Hajek 40%
Svitac
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svitac 50% vs Hajek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svitac +1 · Hajek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hajek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hajek form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvitac 2.20 / Hajek 1.61
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Hajek)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13084165
Svitac2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 27 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back28% 8 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Hajek1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 78 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it92% 43 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it77% 61 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvitac3wins
AwayHajek7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHajek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvitac75%3 of 4
AwayHajek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svitac4Hajek6n = 10Hajek took 6 of 10
S2Svitac3Hajek7n = 10Hajek took 7 of 10
S3Svitac1Hajek9n = 10Hajek took 9 of 10
S4Svitac3Hajek2n = 5Svitac took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvitacHajekS − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match30.636.7−6.1per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvitacHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 380 vs 366 / 67455%54.3%209 / 380 vs 366 / 674Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.740.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekSvitac 2.20/Hajek 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.9%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hajek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 09:45M. Svitac—65111182M. Hajek—111179113
LMay 17 · 09:45M. Svitac—1191291M. Hajek—91114113
WMay 14 · 12:43M. Svitac—11114133M. Hajek—4711111
WMay 14 · 09:45M. Svitac—11116113M. Hajek—781131
LMay 1 · 12:44M. Svitac—5990M. Hajek—1111113
WMay 1 · 09:45M. Svitac—111168113M. Hajek—99111162
LApr 27 · 10:15M. Svitac—7960M. Hajek—1111113
LApr 24 · 11:45M. Svitac—3440M. Hajek—1111113
LApr 5 · 10:45M. Svitac—6760M. Hajek—1111113
LMar 17 · 11:15M. Svitac—7890M. Hajek—1111113
M. Svitac10
WSep 6 · 20:23M. Svitac1.731112113A. Pavlik2.0071090WSep 6 · 18:15A. Pavlik1.83113471M. Svitac1.8391111113LSep 6 · 17:45L. Kolman2.101111610113M. Svitac1.6764111252WSep 5 · 16:49L. Smazik1.80351171M. Svitac1.9111114113WSep 5 · 15:45M. Svitac2.3811117113L. Smazik1.53761151LSep 5 · 14:15P. Semrad2.101111113M. Svitac1.679860LSep 5 · 13:45Z. Vasatko2.00111192M. Svitac1.739990LSep 4 · 12:13M. Svitac1.7313580T. Hucko2.001511113WSep 4 · 11:15T. Hucko2.0015414462M. Svitac1.7313111211113WSep 4 · 10:45M. Svitac1.911111113Z. Vasatko1.808150
M. Hajek10
LSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:15A. Pavlik2.2551490M. Hajek1.571116103LSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113WSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123LSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371LSep 6 · 05:30R. Merkl2.3814711123M. Hajek1.5312117101WSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113LSep 4 · 11:45M. Hajek1.73116571Z. Vasatko2.0091111113LSep 4 · 10:15T. Hucko1.801113113M. Hajek1.9191170
Upcoming Matches
M. Svitac
M. Hajek
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.