TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073063
Played Sep 4Finished
Tomas Hucko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
15134111412411611
Matej Svitac
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMatej Svitac to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Hucko above · Matej Svitac below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 101 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Matej Svitac at 54.5%
101 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hucko 6–9 Matej Svitac Tomas Hucko has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:09What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Svitac
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Svitac
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hucko 1653 vs Svitac 1680
Svitac
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hucko 100% vs Svitac 40%
Hucko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hucko 60% vs Svitac 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hucko +5 · Svitac +1
Hucko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Svitac)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svitac form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHucko 2.00 / Svitac 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Svitac)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13073063
Hucko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 36 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back29% 11 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Svitac1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 64 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it78% 50 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHucko4wins
AwaySvitac6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSvitac leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHucko60%3 of 5
AwaySvitac80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hucko5Svitac5n = 10split evenly
S2Hucko5Svitac5n = 10split evenly
S3Hucko4Svitac6n = 10Svitac took 6 of 10
S4Hucko4Svitac4n = 8split evenly
S5Hucko1Svitac2n = 3Svitac took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHuckoSvitacH − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.038.6−1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHuckoSvitacBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 334 vs 205 / 37252.7%55.1%176 / 334 vs 205 / 372Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvitacHucko 2.00/Svitac 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Svitac · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Svitac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 12:44T. Hucko—611751M. Svitac—11711113
WAug 13 · 09:45T. Hucko—11611113M. Svitac—811851
LAug 12 · 09:15T. Hucko—1188101M. Svitac—71111123
LJul 24 · 10:15T. Hucko—8680M. Svitac—1111113
WApr 5 · 11:45T. Hucko—1111113M. Svitac—9770
LMar 17 · 13:14T. Hucko—6511101M. Svitac—11115123
WMar 17 · 10:15T. Hucko—1211511113M. Svitac—109111352
WFeb 5 · 10:30T. Hucko—91111103M. Svitac—118851
LOct 23 · 10:15T. Hucko—11481162M. Svitac—711117113
LSep 30 · 09:30T. Hucko—711411142M. Svitac—114119163
T. Hucko10
WSep 4 · 12:13M. Svitac1.7313580T. Hucko2.001511113WSep 4 · 10:15T. Hucko1.801113113M. Hajek1.9191170WSep 4 · 09:15T. Hucko1.8351111113Z. Vasatko1.83116871WSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262WSep 1 · 19:15P. Maly2.388990T. Hucko1.531111113WSep 1 · 18:45T. Hucko1.67911114113P. Provaznik2.1011981162LSep 1 · 17:45T. Hucko1.80111264102M. Hajek1.917101111123LAug 27 · 12:48L. Kolman2.001181114113T. Hucko1.7371151692WAug 27 · 11:45T. Hucko1.73711811113L. Kolman2.0011911962LAug 27 · 10:15Z. Vasatko1.831051112113T. Hucko1.83121191062
M. Svitac10
WSep 6 · 20:23M. Svitac1.731112113A. Pavlik2.0071090LSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113WSep 6 · 18:15A. Pavlik1.83113471M. Svitac1.8391111113LSep 6 · 17:45L. Kolman2.101111610113M. Svitac1.6764111252WSep 5 · 16:49L. Smazik1.80351171M. Svitac1.9111114113WSep 5 · 15:45M. Svitac2.3811117113L. Smazik1.53761151LSep 5 · 14:15P. Semrad2.101111113M. Svitac1.679860LSep 5 · 13:45Z. Vasatko2.00111192M. Svitac1.739990LSep 4 · 12:13M. Svitac1.7313580T. Hucko2.001511113WSep 4 · 10:45M. Svitac1.911111113Z. Vasatko1.808150
Upcoming Matches
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M. Svitac
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