TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055106
Played Sep 1Finished
Petr Maly
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911911––––
Tomas Hucko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Hucko to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Maly above · Tomas Hucko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 59 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Tomas Hucko at 54.5%
59 points played in total.
H2H Petr Maly 0–1 Tomas Hucko Petr Maly has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:05What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hucko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Maly 1517 vs Hucko 1616
Hucko
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maly 60% vs Hucko 40%
Maly
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maly 50% vs Hucko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maly +2 · Hucko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Hucko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hucko form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaly 2.38 / Hucko 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Hucko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13055106
Maly2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog59% won 42 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back42% 15 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back21% 4 of 19
Hucko1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite50% won 30 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it63% 19 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMaly0wins
AwayHucko1wins
Hucko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricMalyHuckoM − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match26.033.0−7.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalyHuckoBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 443 vs 174 / 33554%51.9%239 / 443 vs 174 / 335Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HuckoMaly 2.38/Hucko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Hucko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hucko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 1 · 19:15P. Maly—8990T. Hucko—1111113
P. Maly10
LSep 5 · 12:19V. Lopata1.67101111113P. Maly2.10126851LSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103WSep 5 · 10:15P. Maly2.00119713113V. Lopata1.73511111142LSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 20:34P. Maly1.91613631J. Jnr1.80111111113LSep 2 · 20:00M. Hajek1.57111112113P. Maly2.25781491LSep 2 · 19:00R. Merkl1.911111113P. Maly1.808960LSep 2 · 17:30J. Jnr1.83111111113P. Maly1.83741391LSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262WSep 1 · 18:15P. Maly2.381111612113M. Hajek1.5386111482
T. Hucko10
WSep 4 · 12:13M. Svitac1.7313580T. Hucko2.001511113LSep 4 · 11:15T. Hucko2.0015414462M. Svitac1.7313111211113WSep 4 · 10:15T. Hucko1.801113113M. Hajek1.9191170WSep 4 · 09:15T. Hucko1.8351111113Z. Vasatko1.83116871WSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262WSep 1 · 18:45T. Hucko1.67911114113P. Provaznik2.1011981162LSep 1 · 17:45T. Hucko1.80111264102M. Hajek1.917101111123LAug 27 · 12:48L. Kolman2.001181114113T. Hucko1.7371151692WAug 27 · 11:45T. Hucko1.73711811113L. Kolman2.0011911962LAug 27 · 10:15Z. Vasatko1.831051112113T. Hucko1.83121191062
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