TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022607
Played Aug 27Finished
Zdenek Vasatko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10125111191210116
Tomas Hucko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Hucko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Vasatko above · Tomas Hucko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 97 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Tomas Hucko at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Vasatko 10–14 Tomas Hucko Zdenek Vasatko has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:50What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hucko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-14 in 24
Hucko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasatko 1690 vs Hucko 1650
Vasatko
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasatko 40% vs Hucko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasatko 40% vs Hucko 60%
Hucko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasatko -1 · Hucko -3
Hucko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hucko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hucko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasatko 1.83 / Hucko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hucko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13022607
Vasatko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Hucko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasatko4wins
AwayHucko6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHucko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasatko57.1%4 of 7
AwayHucko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasatko7Hucko3n = 10Vasatko took 7 of 10
S2Vasatko2Hucko8n = 10Hucko took 8 of 10
S3Vasatko5Hucko5n = 10split evenly
S4Vasatko4Hucko4n = 8split evenly
S5Vasatko2Hucko3n = 5Hucko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasatkoHuckoV − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.341.4−4.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasatkoHuckoBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 269 vs 174 / 33749.4%51.6%133 / 269 vs 174 / 337Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HuckoVasatko 1.83/Hucko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hucko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vasatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 09:15Z. Vasatko—11812472T. Hucko—9111011113
WMay 23 · 10:45Z. Vasatko—1311123T. Hucko—117100
LApr 21 · 08:43Z. Vasatko—49111162T. Hucko—111189113
WApr 21 · 07:45Z. Vasatko—11915113T. Hucko—6111331
WApr 4 · 14:15Z. Vasatko—111159113T. Hucko—84111152
LMar 13 · 14:45Z. Vasatko—67111132T. Hucko—111197113
LFeb 17 · 13:16Z. Vasatko—124341T. Hucko—101111113
WFeb 17 · 10:15Z. Vasatko—1110511143T. Hucko—812116122
LFeb 14 · 13:20Z. Vasatko—3890T. Hucko—1111103
LFeb 14 · 12:15Z. Vasatko—117831T. Hucko—61111113
Z. Vasatko10
WSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162LSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382WSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101WSep 5 · 13:45Z. Vasatko2.00111192M. Svitac1.739990LSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113WSep 4 · 11:45M. Hajek1.73116571Z. Vasatko2.0091111113LSep 4 · 10:45M. Svitac1.911111113Z. Vasatko1.808150LSep 4 · 09:15T. Hucko1.8351111113Z. Vasatko1.83116871LAug 31 · 16:38L. Kolman2.001111113Z. Vasatko1.738340LAug 31 · 15:30Z. Vasatko1.8011125772L. Provaznik1.917101111113
T. Hucko10
WSep 4 · 12:13M. Svitac1.7313580T. Hucko2.001511113LSep 4 · 11:15T. Hucko2.0015414462M. Svitac1.7313111211113WSep 4 · 10:15T. Hucko1.801113113M. Hajek1.9191170WSep 4 · 09:15T. Hucko1.8351111113Z. Vasatko1.83116871WSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262WSep 1 · 19:15P. Maly2.388990T. Hucko1.531111113WSep 1 · 18:45T. Hucko1.67911114113P. Provaznik2.1011981162LSep 1 · 17:45T. Hucko1.80111264102M. Hajek1.917101111123LAug 27 · 12:48L. Kolman2.001181114113T. Hucko1.7371151692WAug 27 · 11:45T. Hucko1.73711811113L. Kolman2.0011911962
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