TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078871
Played Sep 5Finished
Petr Semrad
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111171141113118
Zdenek Vasatko
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:33 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timePetr Semrad to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Semrad above · Zdenek Vasatko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 94 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Petr Semrad at 54.7%
94 points played in total.
H2H Petr Semrad 14–12 Zdenek Vasatko Zdenek Vasatko has won 12 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Semrad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-12 in 26
Semrad
Correct
gap of 2 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Semrad 1715 vs Vasatko 1646
Semrad
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Semrad 60% vs Vasatko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Semrad 60% vs Vasatko 40%
Semrad
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Semrad +2 · Vasatko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Semrad)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSemrad 1.80 / Vasatko 1.91
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Semrad)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13078871
Semrad1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 92 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it91% 40 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it68% 61 of 90
Vasatko1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 27 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSemrad5wins
AwayVasatko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSemrad57.1%4 of 7
AwayVasatko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Semrad7Vasatko3n = 10Semrad took 7 of 10
S2Semrad5Vasatko5n = 10split evenly
S3Semrad6Vasatko4n = 10Semrad took 6 of 10
S4Semrad3Vasatko5n = 8Vasatko took 5 of 8
S5Semrad1Vasatko3n = 4Vasatko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSemradVasatkoS − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.538.3−0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSemradVasatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime271 / 534 vs 139 / 28250.8%49.3%271 / 534 vs 139 / 282Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemradSemrad 1.80/Vasatko 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Semrad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Semrad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 24 · 09:30P. Semrad—118371Z. Vasatko—51111113
LMay 2 · 09:15P. Semrad—6720Z. Vasatko—1111113
LMar 21 · 14:15P. Semrad—6111110112Z. Vasatko—115512133
WMar 15 · 07:00P. Semrad—1111113Z. Vasatko—9680
WMar 13 · 15:45P. Semrad—14117113Z. Vasatko—1261181
LFeb 4 · 07:00P. Semrad—11911322Z. Vasatko—911911113
WDec 10 · 17:21P. Semrad—61111113Z. Vasatko—118571
WDec 10 · 16:15P. Semrad—115118113Z. Vasatko—31151142
LDec 5 · 13:36P. Semrad—11418482Z. Vasatko—7111611113
WDec 5 · 12:30P. Semrad—11117113Z. Vasatko—781181
P. Semrad10
LSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162WSep 5 · 14:15P. Semrad2.101111113M. Svitac1.679860WSep 5 · 13:15P. Semrad1.9111711103L. Smazik1.80811351LSep 3 · 17:03D. Marasek2.38141111113P. Semrad1.53165991WSep 3 · 16:00P. Semrad1.5011116113D. Marasek2.50561171LSep 3 · 14:30T. Hybl1.8081111133P. Semrad1.911157111WSep 3 · 14:00J. Simek2.755121171P. Semrad1.4011147113WSep 2 · 16:19L. Provaznik2.009460P. Semrad1.731111113LSep 2 · 15:15P. Semrad1.8399111392L. Provaznik1.831111711113LSep 2 · 14:15P. Semrad1.50911891P. Hala2.5011411113
Z. Vasatko10
WSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162WSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101WSep 5 · 13:45Z. Vasatko2.00111192M. Svitac1.739990LSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113WSep 4 · 11:45M. Hajek1.73116571Z. Vasatko2.0091111113LSep 4 · 10:45M. Svitac1.911111113Z. Vasatko1.808150LSep 4 · 09:15T. Hucko1.8351111113Z. Vasatko1.83116871LAug 31 · 16:38L. Kolman2.001111113Z. Vasatko1.738340LAug 31 · 15:30Z. Vasatko1.8011125772L. Provaznik1.917101111113LAug 31 · 14:30Z. Vasatko1.7311119772L. Kolman2.00921111113
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