TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061576
Played Sep 2Finished
Petr Semrad
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911114811911––
Pavel Hala
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:03 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timePetr Semrad to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Semrad above · Pavel Hala below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Petr Semrad at 62.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H Petr Semrad 5–7 Pavel Hala Petr Semrad has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:03What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Semrad
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Hala
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Semrad 1704 vs Hala 1637
Semrad
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Semrad 60% vs Hala 40%
Semrad
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Semrad 60% vs Hala 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Semrad +3 · Hala +1
Semrad
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Semrad) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSemrad 1.50 / Hala 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Semrad)+3.4pp
Setka Cup · #13061576
Semrad1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 88 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it67% 57 of 85
Hala2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 43 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSemrad5wins
AwayHala5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSemrad75%3 of 4
AwayHala66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Semrad4Hala6n = 10Hala took 6 of 10
S2Semrad6Hala4n = 10Semrad took 6 of 10
S3Semrad6Hala4n = 10Semrad took 6 of 10
S4Semrad1Hala4n = 5Hala took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSemradHalaS − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.333.0+0.3per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSemradHalaBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 537 vs 308 / 60950.8%50.6%273 / 537 vs 308 / 609Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemradSemrad 1.50/Hala 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.9%
Semrad · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 14:15P. Semrad—911891P. Hala—11411113
WJul 5 · 06:00P. Semrad—8111110113P. Hala—11551292
LMay 5 · 16:00P. Semrad—9430P. Hala—1111113
LApr 16 · 15:45P. Semrad—7813101P. Hala—111111123
WNov 16 · 10:15P. Semrad—61113123P. Hala—11411101
WNov 6 · 18:20P. Semrad—1112113P. Hala—81080
WNov 6 · 15:00P. Semrad—1112113P. Hala—41070
LNov 2 · 17:28P. Semrad—118791P. Hala—71111113
WNov 2 · 15:45P. Semrad—1111103P. Hala—2690
LOct 26 · 13:20P. Semrad—3740P. Hala—1111113
P. Semrad10
LSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162WSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382WSep 5 · 14:15P. Semrad2.101111113M. Svitac1.679860WSep 5 · 13:15P. Semrad1.9111711103L. Smazik1.80811351LSep 3 · 17:03D. Marasek2.38141111113P. Semrad1.53165991WSep 3 · 16:00P. Semrad1.5011116113D. Marasek2.50561171LSep 3 · 14:30T. Hybl1.8081111133P. Semrad1.911157111WSep 3 · 14:00J. Simek2.755121171P. Semrad1.4011147113WSep 2 · 16:19L. Provaznik2.009460P. Semrad1.731111113LSep 2 · 15:15P. Semrad1.8399111392L. Provaznik1.831111711113
P. Hala10
WSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113LSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123WSep 6 · 06:30R. Merkl2.10231111102P. Hala1.67111177123LSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski2.00131110163P. Hala1.7311712141WSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161LSep 4 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.91115179113P. Hala1.80311151162LSep 4 · 19:00P. Orlowski1.91119211123P. Hala1.80811118102LSep 4 · 17:30P. Rucky1.611513118113P. Hala2.20131561192WSep 2 · 16:50L. Kolman1.78111011752P. Hala1.92612611113LSep 2 · 15:45P. Hala1.919113141L. Kolman1.8011911163
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