TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073624
Played Sep 4Finished
Premysl Rucky
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
15131315116811119
Pavel Hala
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timePremysl Rucky to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPremysl Rucky above · Pavel Hala below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 112 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Premysl Rucky at 54.9%
112 points played in total.
H2H Premysl Rucky 1–1 Pavel Hala Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Rucky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rucky 1520 vs Hala 1659
Hala
Wrong
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rucky 40% vs Hala 60%
Hala
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rucky 50% vs Hala 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rucky +1 · Hala +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Rucky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hala form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRucky 1.61 / Hala 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Rucky)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13073624
Rucky1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite43% won 12 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it71% 5 of 7
Hala2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 46 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back23% 10 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRucky1wins
AwayHala1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricRuckyHalaR − HBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match50.050.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuckyHalaBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 60 vs 308 / 60946.7%50.6%28 / 60 vs 308 / 609Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuckyRucky 1.61/Hala 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Rucky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rucky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 11 · 20:41P. Rucky—111311692P. Hala—915311113
WSep 11 · 18:15P. Rucky—2111016113P. Hala—119121452
P. Rucky10
LSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161LSep 4 · 19:30P. Rucky2.1083111152P. Orlowski1.67111153113LSep 4 · 18:30P. Rucky2.00611781D. Brichacek1.7311811113WAug 25 · 20:48P. Rucky1.7351114113T. Hanke2.001151281LAug 25 · 19:45T. Hanke2.25117511113P. Rucky1.5731111852LAug 25 · 18:45P. Orlowski2.101111113P. Rucky1.677590LAug 25 · 17:15J. Jnr1.5320127113P. Rucky2.3818101181WAug 21 · 20:39S. Kalensky2.50117561P. Rucky1.5061111113LAug 21 · 19:30P. Rucky1.83961181A. Pavlik1.8311119113WAug 21 · 18:30P. Rucky1.61101111123S. Kalensky2.201298101
P. Hala10
WSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113LSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123WSep 6 · 06:30R. Merkl2.10231111102P. Hala1.67111177123LSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski2.00131110163P. Hala1.7311712141WSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161LSep 4 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.91115179113P. Hala1.80311151162LSep 4 · 19:00P. Orlowski1.91119211123P. Hala1.80811118102WSep 2 · 16:50L. Kolman1.78111011752P. Hala1.92612611113LSep 2 · 15:45P. Hala1.919113141L. Kolman1.8011911163WSep 2 · 14:15P. Semrad1.50911891P. Hala2.5011411113
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