TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084052
Played Sep 6Finished
Petr Orlowski
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
131111710121614––
Pavel Hala
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Hala to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Orlowski above · Pavel Hala below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 16-14
Point 94 set 4, 16-14 — our read held Pavel Hala at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Petr Orlowski 11–19 Pavel Hala Petr Orlowski has won 11 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:56What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hala
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-19 in 30
Hala
Wrong
gap of 8 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Orlowski 1699 vs Hala 1619
Orlowski
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Orlowski 80% vs Hala 40%
Orlowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Orlowski 70% vs Hala 50%
Orlowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Orlowski -1 · Hala +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Orlowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hala form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOrlowski 2.00 / Hala 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Orlowski)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13084052
Orlowski2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog55% won 48 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back38% 15 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Hala1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite50% won 71 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it65% 61 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOrlowski4wins
AwayHala6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHala leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOrlowski75%3 of 4
AwayHala83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Orlowski4Hala6n = 10Hala took 6 of 10
S2Orlowski5Hala5n = 10split evenly
S3Orlowski3Hala7n = 10Hala took 7 of 10
S4Orlowski4Hala4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricOrlowskiHalaO − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.440.1−2.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOrlowskiHalaBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 340 vs 309 / 61353.2%50.4%181 / 340 vs 309 / 613Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrlowskiOrlowski 2.00/Hala 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Orlowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Orlowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski—131110163P. Hala—11712141
WSep 4 · 19:00P. Orlowski—119211123P. Hala—811118102
WAug 23 · 08:18P. Orlowski—11911123P. Hala—5117101
LAug 23 · 07:15P. Orlowski—1111661P. Hala—13911113
LMay 25 · 18:15P. Orlowski—913721P. Hala—111111113
WApr 19 · 06:30P. Orlowski—81111133P. Hala—1156111
LMar 1 · 17:22P. Orlowski—711981P. Hala—11611113
LMar 1 · 15:15P. Orlowski—91090P. Hala—1112113
LJan 22 · 22:10P. Orlowski—7890P. Hala—1111113
LJan 22 · 21:00P. Orlowski—11611852P. Hala—711911113
P. Orlowski10
WSep 6 · 08:34P. Orlowski1.73111114133R. Merkl2.009416111LSep 6 · 07:30R. Merkl1.9171111113P. Orlowski1.80119891WSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371LSep 4 · 21:33D. Brichacek2.20611211113P. Orlowski1.6111811592WSep 4 · 19:30P. Rucky2.1083111152P. Orlowski1.67111153113WSep 4 · 19:00P. Orlowski1.91119211123P. Hala1.80811118102WSep 4 · 18:00P. Orlowski2.1011116113D. Brichacek1.67871161WAug 31 · 20:58P. Orlowski1.73911119113J. Gruber2.0011791182WAug 31 · 19:45P. Orlowski1.44121211113V. Herrmann2.631014951WAug 31 · 18:15J. Gruber1.91412931P. Orlowski1.80111011113
P. Hala10
WSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113LSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123WSep 6 · 06:30R. Merkl2.10231111102P. Hala1.67111177123WSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161LSep 4 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.91115179113P. Hala1.80311151162LSep 4 · 19:00P. Orlowski1.91119211123P. Hala1.80811118102LSep 4 · 17:30P. Rucky1.611513118113P. Hala2.20131561192WSep 2 · 16:50L. Kolman1.78111011752P. Hala1.92612611113LSep 2 · 15:45P. Hala1.919113141L. Kolman1.8011911163WSep 2 · 14:15P. Semrad1.50911891P. Hala2.5011411113
Upcoming Matches
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