TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061199
Played Sep 2Finished
Pavel Hala
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111193111416––
Leon Kolman
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Hala to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavel Hala above · Leon Kolman below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 14-16
Point 84 set 4, 14-16 — our read held Pavel Hala at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Hala 11–7 Leon Kolman Leon Kolman has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:03What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kolman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-7 in 18
Hala
Wrong
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hala 1651 vs Kolman 1629
Hala
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hala 60% vs Kolman 20%
Hala
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hala 60% vs Kolman 40%
Hala
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hala +2 · Kolman +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolman) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolman form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHala 1.91 / Kolman 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kolman)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13061199
Hala1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog46% won 43 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Kolman1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 107 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it87% 47 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it70% 82 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHala6wins
AwayKolman4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHala leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHala100%4 of 4
AwayKolman66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hala4Kolman6n = 10Kolman took 6 of 10
S2Hala4Kolman6n = 10Kolman took 6 of 10
S3Hala6Kolman4n = 10Hala took 6 of 10
S4Hala5Kolman2n = 7Hala took 5 of 7
S5Hala3Kolman2n = 5Hala took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHalaKolmanH − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.537.7+2.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHalaKolmanBasisWin rate · lifetime308 / 609 vs 354 / 66950.6%52.9%308 / 609 vs 354 / 669Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.640.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolmanHala 1.91/Kolman 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kolman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 20:19P. Hala—1111113L. Kolman—5890
LAug 21 · 17:45P. Hala—8990L. Kolman—1111113
WMay 23 · 15:00P. Hala—12117113L. Kolman—1031151
WApr 26 · 12:34P. Hala—111177113L. Kolman—44111172
LApr 26 · 11:00P. Hala—7790L. Kolman—1111113
WMar 12 · 15:30P. Hala—11311113L. Kolman—811431
WMar 10 · 15:00P. Hala—891113133L. Kolman—1111811112
LMar 1 · 14:45P. Hala—96111192L. Kolman—111198113
WFeb 11 · 20:00P. Hala—911119103L. Kolman—11861162
LDec 19 · 20:45P. Hala—107141172L. Kolman—1211127113
P. Hala10
WSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113LSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123WSep 6 · 06:30R. Merkl2.10231111102P. Hala1.67111177123LSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski2.00131110163P. Hala1.7311712141WSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161LSep 4 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.91115179113P. Hala1.80311151162LSep 4 · 19:00P. Orlowski1.91119211123P. Hala1.80811118102LSep 4 · 17:30P. Rucky1.611513118113P. Hala2.20131561192WSep 2 · 16:50L. Kolman1.78111011752P. Hala1.92612611113WSep 2 · 14:15P. Semrad1.50911891P. Hala2.5011411113
L. Kolman10
WSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:15A. Pavlik2.00131181072L. Kolman1.731191112113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:45L. Kolman2.101111610113M. Svitac1.6764111252LSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103LSep 5 · 11:45V. Lopata2.0012911113L. Kolman1.731011741WSep 5 · 10:45V. Herrmann2.5013990L. Kolman1.501511113WSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 16:50L. Kolman1.78111011752P. Hala1.92612611113WSep 2 · 14:45L. Provaznik1.61511851L. Kolman2.2011111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Hala
Nothing scheduled
L. Kolman
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