TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079301
Played Sep 5Finished
Vit Herrmann
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1315911911––––
Leon Kolman
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeLeon Kolman to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVit Herrmann above · Leon Kolman below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 68 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Leon Kolman at 63.7%
68 points played in total.
H2H Vit Herrmann 3–7 Leon Kolman Vit Herrmann has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:41What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kolman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Kolman
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Herrmann 1624 vs Kolman 1627
Kolman
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Herrmann 40% vs Kolman 60%
Kolman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Herrmann 60% vs Kolman 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Herrmann +1 · Kolman +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kolman)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHerrmann 2.50 / Kolman 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Kolman)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13079301
Herrmann2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 62 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back31% 18 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Kolman1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 108 of 185
Up 2–0, closes it87% 47 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it69% 83 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHerrmann3wins
AwayKolman7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolman leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHerrmann25%1 of 4
AwayKolman66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Herrmann4Kolman6n = 10Kolman took 6 of 10
S2Herrmann2Kolman8n = 10Kolman took 8 of 10
S3Herrmann6Kolman4n = 10Herrmann took 6 of 10
S4Herrmann3Kolman5n = 8Kolman took 5 of 8
S5Herrmann1Kolman2n = 3Kolman took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHerrmannKolmanH − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.940.3−3.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHerrmannKolmanBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 439 vs 354 / 66848.3%53%212 / 439 vs 354 / 668Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.940.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolmanHerrmann 2.50/Kolman 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Kolman · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LApr 25 · 16:45V. Herrmann—981291L. Kolman—111110113
WApr 25 · 15:45V. Herrmann—71111113L. Kolman—112981
LApr 19 · 16:14V. Herrmann—115110L. Kolman—1311133
WApr 19 · 14:15V. Herrmann—5111011113L. Kolman—11812342
LJan 31 · 17:18V. Herrmann—117111092L. Kolman—811612113
LJan 31 · 14:45V. Herrmann—111313452L. Kolman—9151111113
LAug 24 · 16:34V. Herrmann—119361L. Kolman—91111113
WAug 24 · 15:30V. Herrmann—11711113L. Kolman—411861
LJul 26 · 15:30V. Herrmann—511110L. Kolman—1113133
LJul 20 · 14:30V. Herrmann—551151L. Kolman—11119113
V. Herrmann10
WSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691LSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103WSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103WSep 5 · 09:45V. Herrmann2.0011136113V. Lopata1.739111171LAug 31 · 20:29V. Herrmann1.9151191152O. Chadima1.80116118113LAug 31 · 19:45P. Orlowski1.44121211113V. Herrmann2.631014951WAug 31 · 18:45O. Chadima1.831010110V. Herrmann1.831212133
L. Kolman10
WSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:15A. Pavlik2.00131181072L. Kolman1.731191112113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:45L. Kolman2.101111610113M. Svitac1.6764111252LSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103LSep 5 · 11:45V. Lopata2.0012911113L. Kolman1.731011741WSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 16:50L. Kolman1.78111011752P. Hala1.92612611113WSep 2 · 15:45P. Hala1.919113141L. Kolman1.8011911163WSep 2 · 14:45L. Provaznik1.61511851L. Kolman2.2011111113
Upcoming Matches
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