TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13087517
Played Sep 6Finished
Jachym Juppa
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911118711911––
Vit Herrmann
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJachym Juppa above · Vit Herrmann below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 77 set 4, 9-11
77 points played in total.
H2H Jachym Juppa 18–10 Vit Herrmann Vit Herrmann has won 10 of their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Juppa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Herrmann form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuppa 1.50 / Herrmann 2.50
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Juppa)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13087517
Juppa1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 80 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it68% 65 of 95
Herrmann2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog51% won 65 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back31% 18 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJuppa5wins
AwayHerrmann5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuppa66.7%4 of 6
AwayHerrmann75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juppa6Herrmann4n = 10Juppa took 6 of 10
S2Juppa7Herrmann3n = 10Juppa took 7 of 10
S3Juppa3Herrmann7n = 10Herrmann took 7 of 10
S4Juppa3Herrmann4n = 7Herrmann took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJuppaHerrmannJ − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.336.6+0.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuppaHerrmannBasisWin rate · lifetime453 / 864 vs 215 / 44152.4%48.8%453 / 864 vs 215 / 441Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuppaJuppa 1.50/Herrmann 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Juppa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Herrmann won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 10:30J. Juppa—11113113V. Herrmann—891181
LAug 23 · 16:00J. Juppa—7127101V. Herrmann—111011123
LAug 1 · 12:29J. Juppa—9580V. Herrmann—1111113
LAug 1 · 11:00J. Juppa—11971142V. Herrmann—711119113
WApr 19 · 13:15J. Juppa—1111133V. Herrmann—38110
WMar 7 · 15:00J. Juppa—151111113V. Herrmann—178471
WFeb 8 · 17:24J. Juppa—1111410113V. Herrmann—24111282
LFeb 8 · 16:15J. Juppa—10121381V. Herrmann—121015113
WFeb 7 · 17:19J. Juppa—1111123V. Herrmann—86100
LFeb 7 · 16:15J. Juppa—115951V. Herrmann—41111113
J. Juppa10
WSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143WSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181LSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250LSep 5 · 19:00O. Chadima2.00912118113J. Juppa1.73111021172WSep 5 · 17:30T. Hanke1.6181181162J. Juppa2.20116117113WSep 5 · 08:59J. Juppa1.9171118113S. Kalensky1.801191671WSep 5 · 08:00S. Kalensky1.91741181J. Juppa1.8011117113WSep 5 · 07:00Z. Kuksa1.80111371392J. Juppa1.918151111113
V. Herrmann10
WSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691LSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103WSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103LSep 5 · 10:45V. Herrmann2.5013990L. Kolman1.501511113WSep 5 · 09:45V. Herrmann2.0011136113V. Lopata1.739111171LAug 31 · 20:29V. Herrmann1.9151191152O. Chadima1.80116118113LAug 31 · 19:45P. Orlowski1.44121211113V. Herrmann2.631014951WAug 31 · 18:45O. Chadima1.831010110V. Herrmann1.831212133
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