TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13081768
Played Sep 5Finished
Jachym Juppa
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111191816117––
Stepan Kalensky
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJachym Juppa above · Stepan Kalensky below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 18-16
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 90 set 4, 11-7
90 points played in total.
H2H Jachym Juppa 5–2 Stepan Kalensky Stepan Kalensky has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kalensky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kalensky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuppa 1.91 / Kalensky 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kalensky)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13081768
Juppa1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 97 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back28% 31 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 57
Kalensky1.80
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 75 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it83% 43 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeJuppa5wins
AwayKalensky2wins
Juppa leads 5–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuppa100%4 of 4
AwayKalensky66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juppa4Kalensky3n = 7Juppa took 4 of 7
S2Juppa5Kalensky2n = 7Juppa took 5 of 7
S3Juppa4Kalensky3n = 7Juppa took 4 of 7
S4Juppa3Kalensky1n = 4Juppa took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricJuppaKalenskyJ − KBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match33.630.3+3.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuppaKalenskyBasisWin rate · lifetime451 / 864 vs 286 / 51752.2%55.3%451 / 864 vs 286 / 517Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KalenskyJuppa 1.91/Kalensky 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Kalensky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Juppa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 5 · 08:00J. Juppa—11117113S. Kalensky—741181
LSep 1 · 20:00J. Juppa—421181S. Kalensky—11115113
WJul 7 · 18:45J. Juppa—1111153S. Kalensky—88130
LMay 9 · 16:49J. Juppa—7590S. Kalensky—1111113
WMay 9 · 13:15J. Juppa—1111113S. Kalensky—6950
WMay 1 · 17:45J. Juppa—11116113S. Kalensky—761171
WJul 13 · 20:00J. Juppa—61311103S. Kalensky—1111451
J. Juppa10
LSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143WSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181LSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250LSep 5 · 19:00O. Chadima2.00912118113J. Juppa1.73111021172WSep 5 · 17:30T. Hanke1.6181181162J. Juppa2.20116117113WSep 5 · 08:00S. Kalensky1.91741181J. Juppa1.8011117113WSep 5 · 07:00Z. Kuksa1.80111371392J. Juppa1.918151111113
S. Kalensky10
WSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691LSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143LSep 5 · 16:59F. Kubos1.8011911113S. Kalensky1.91311891WSep 5 · 15:30L. Hendrych2.6391141152S. Kalensky1.44116115113LSep 5 · 14:00S. Kalensky1.731181051F. Kubos2.008111293LSep 5 · 08:00S. Kalensky1.91741181J. Juppa1.8011117113WSep 5 · 06:30M. Cizek2.108550S. Kalensky1.671111113WSep 5 · 06:00Z. Kuksa2.201011111182S. Kalensky1.61121388113
Upcoming Matches
J. Juppa
Nothing scheduled
S. Kalensky
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