TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078955
Played Sep 5Finished
David Brichacek
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115112115––––
Jachym Juppa
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:40 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeDavid Brichacek to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Brichacek above · Jachym Juppa below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 45 set 3, 11-5 — our read held David Brichacek at 66.9%
45 points played in total.
H2H David Brichacek 13–4 Jachym Juppa Jachym Juppa has won 4 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:40What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Brichacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-4 in 17
Brichacek
Correct
gap of 9 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brichacek 1697 vs Juppa 1513
Brichacek
Correct
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brichacek 100% vs Juppa 80%
Brichacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brichacek 70% vs Juppa 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brichacek +5 · Juppa -1
Brichacek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Brichacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juppa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrichacek 1.50 / Juppa 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Brichacek)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13078955
Brichacek1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 108 of 191
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it78% 79 of 102
Juppa2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 97 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back28% 31 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrichacek6wins
AwayJuppa4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBrichacek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrichacek80%4 of 5
AwayJuppa60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brichacek5Juppa5n = 10split evenly
S2Brichacek6Juppa4n = 10Brichacek took 6 of 10
S3Brichacek5Juppa5n = 10split evenly
S4Brichacek4Juppa4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrichacekJuppaB − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.534.8+2.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrichacekJuppaBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 306 vs 450 / 86052.3%52.3%160 / 306 vs 450 / 860Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrichacekBrichacek 1.50/Juppa 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Brichacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Brichacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 16:29D. Brichacek—11118133J. Juppa—3511121
LAug 23 · 14:00D. Brichacek—1181061J. Juppa—81112113
WAug 12 · 19:45D. Brichacek—1111113J. Juppa—8560
LAug 2 · 13:45D. Brichacek—11311111J. Juppa—13115133
WAug 1 · 10:00D. Brichacek—11116113J. Juppa—871181
WJul 7 · 08:33D. Brichacek—11911113J. Juppa—511891
LJul 7 · 05:30D. Brichacek—101190J. Juppa—1213113
WJun 21 · 06:15D. Brichacek—611119113J. Juppa—11651172
WJun 14 · 10:30D. Brichacek—51111113J. Juppa—116741
LMay 30 · 20:44D. Brichacek—612671J. Juppa—111011113
D. Brichacek10
WSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:45L. Stoces2.3886121122D. Brichacek1.531111106113WSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113WSep 6 · 05:15M. Taranko2.104960D. Brichacek1.671111113LSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113WSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113WSep 5 · 18:00O. Chadima3.508370D. Brichacek1.281111113WSep 4 · 21:33D. Brichacek2.20611211113P. Orlowski1.6111811592WSep 4 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.91115179113P. Hala1.80311151162WSep 4 · 18:30P. Rucky2.00611781D. Brichacek1.7311811113
J. Juppa10
LSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143WSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181LSep 5 · 19:00O. Chadima2.00912118113J. Juppa1.73111021172WSep 5 · 17:30T. Hanke1.6181181162J. Juppa2.20116117113WSep 5 · 08:59J. Juppa1.9171118113S. Kalensky1.801191671WSep 5 · 08:00S. Kalensky1.91741181J. Juppa1.8011117113WSep 5 · 07:00Z. Kuksa1.80111371392J. Juppa1.918151111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Brichacek
J. Juppa
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