TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079219
Played Sep 5Finished
Zdenek Kuksa
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11813157111311911
Jachym Juppa
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZdenek Kuksa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Kuksa above · Jachym Juppa below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 109 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Zdenek Kuksa at 54.0%
109 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Kuksa 15–18 Jachym Juppa Zdenek Kuksa has won 15 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:36What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kuksa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-18 in 33
Juppa
Correct
gap of 3 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuksa 1503 vs Juppa 1519
Juppa
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuksa 40% vs Juppa 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuksa 30% vs Juppa 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuksa -2 · Juppa +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kuksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juppa form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuksa 1.80 / Juppa 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kuksa)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13079219
Kuksa1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 80 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it75% 63 of 84
Juppa1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 103 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back29% 33 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuksa3wins
AwayJuppa7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJuppa leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuksa33.3%2 of 6
AwayJuppa75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuksa6Juppa4n = 10Kuksa took 6 of 10
S2Kuksa5Juppa5n = 10split evenly
S3Kuksa3Juppa7n = 10Juppa took 7 of 10
S4Kuksa6Juppa3n = 9Kuksa took 6 of 9
S5Kuksa0Juppa4n = 4Juppa took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuksaJuppaK − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.240.8−0.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuksaJuppaBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 498 vs 449 / 86150.4%52.2%251 / 498 vs 449 / 861Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuksaKuksa 1.80/Juppa 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kuksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Juppa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 07:00Z. Kuksa—111371392J. Juppa—8151111113
LAug 10 · 17:30Z. Kuksa—118611102J. Juppa—711112123
LJul 17 · 08:00Z. Kuksa—95111242J. Juppa—1111610113
LJul 13 · 12:58Z. Kuksa—1151351J. Juppa—61115113
WJul 13 · 12:00Z. Kuksa—12115113J. Juppa—1071191
LJun 29 · 08:43Z. Kuksa—6111211142J. Juppa—116147163
WJun 29 · 07:00Z. Kuksa—81111113J. Juppa—115951
WJun 13 · 05:45Z. Kuksa—1111113J. Juppa—7660
LMay 2 · 08:44Z. Kuksa—711381J. Juppa—11811113
LMay 2 · 06:15Z. Kuksa—119751J. Juppa—31111113
Z. Kuksa10
WSep 5 · 08:29Z. Kuksa1.80111111113M. Cizek1.91713761LSep 5 · 07:30M. Cizek2.00712118113Z. Kuksa1.73111031182LSep 5 · 06:00Z. Kuksa2.201011111182S. Kalensky1.61121388113LAug 27 · 16:54Z. Kuksa1.91149931O. Horak1.80121111113WAug 27 · 15:45M. Soukup2.101011111182Z. Kuksa1.67121388113WAug 27 · 14:45O. Horak1.73111191262Z. Kuksa2.001371110113LAug 27 · 13:15T. Hanke2.0011114113Z. Kuksa1.73751161LAug 24 · 16:33M. Bruk1.67611211123Z. Kuksa2.10119116102LAug 24 · 15:30D. Marasek1.61111013113Z. Kuksa2.209121131LAug 24 · 15:00Z. Kuksa1.7311911692R. Merkl2.00511911113
J. Juppa10
LSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143WSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181LSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250LSep 5 · 19:00O. Chadima2.00912118113J. Juppa1.73111021172WSep 5 · 17:30T. Hanke1.6181181162J. Juppa2.20116117113WSep 5 · 08:59J. Juppa1.9171118113S. Kalensky1.801191671WSep 5 · 08:00S. Kalensky1.91741181J. Juppa1.8011117113
Upcoming Matches
Z. Kuksa
J. Juppa
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