TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084551
Played Sep 6Finished
Jachym Juppa
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119119––––
Tadeas Bertho
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeJachym Juppa to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJachym Juppa above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Jachym Juppa at 59.3%
58 points played in total.
H2H Jachym Juppa 14–8 Tadeas Bertho Tadeas Bertho has won 8 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Juppa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-8 in 22
Juppa
Correct
gap of 6 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Juppa 1532 vs Bertho 1473
Juppa
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juppa 60% vs Bertho 40%
Juppa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juppa 80% vs Bertho 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Juppa +3 · Bertho +1
Juppa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Juppa) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuppa 1.57 / Bertho 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Juppa)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13084551
Juppa1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 80 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it68% 65 of 95
Bertho2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 71 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back23% 16 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJuppa6wins
AwayBertho4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJuppa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuppa85.7%6 of 7
AwayBertho100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juppa7Bertho3n = 10Juppa took 7 of 10
S2Juppa6Bertho4n = 10Juppa took 6 of 10
S3Juppa6Bertho4n = 10Juppa took 6 of 10
S4Juppa3Bertho6n = 9Bertho took 6 of 9
S5Juppa2Bertho2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJuppaBerthoJ − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.639.9+1.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuppaBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime452 / 863 vs 341 / 64452.4%53%452 / 863 vs 341 / 644Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuppaJuppa 1.57/Bertho 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Juppa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Juppa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 6 · 19:30J. Juppa—1114123T. Bertho—812100
LMar 7 · 17:00J. Juppa—911971T. Bertho—11611113
LFeb 26 · 15:15J. Juppa—61211652T. Bertho—1110911113
WJan 13 · 14:30J. Juppa—11116133T. Bertho—9511111
WJan 4 · 14:45J. Juppa—11811133T. Bertho—9117111
WDec 14 · 19:30J. Juppa—117116113T. Bertho—81171172
WDec 11 · 18:05J. Juppa—111111113T. Bertho—613751
LDec 11 · 17:00J. Juppa—711119102T. Bertho—117611123
LDec 10 · 15:30J. Juppa—118961T. Bertho—81111113
WDec 6 · 08:00J. Juppa—111187103T. Bertho—57111172
J. Juppa10
LSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143WSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181LSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250LSep 5 · 19:00O. Chadima2.00912118113J. Juppa1.73111021172WSep 5 · 17:30T. Hanke1.6181181162J. Juppa2.20116117113WSep 5 · 08:59J. Juppa1.9171118113S. Kalensky1.801191671WSep 5 · 08:00S. Kalensky1.91741181J. Juppa1.8011117113WSep 5 · 07:00Z. Kuksa1.80111371392J. Juppa1.918151111113
T. Bertho10
LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113WSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162LSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881WSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113WSep 1 · 17:08K. Farsky1.8081151352T. Bertho1.911131111113WSep 1 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.759970T. Bertho1.401111113WSep 1 · 15:00T. Bertho2.001111113K. Farsky1.737450
Upcoming Matches
J. Juppa
Nothing scheduled
T. Bertho
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