TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055719
Played Sep 1Finished
Frantisek Schmidtmayer
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911711––––
Tadeas Bertho
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:55 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Schmidtmayer above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 58 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 66.7%
58 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Schmidtmayer 6–8 Tadeas Bertho Frantisek Schmidtmayer has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:55What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Bertho
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Bertho
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schmidtmayer 1399 vs Bertho 1440
Bertho
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schmidtmayer 20% vs Bertho 60%
Bertho
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schmidtmayer 20% vs Bertho 50%
Bertho
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Schmidtmayer -4 · Bertho +2
Schmidtmayer
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bertho form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchmidtmayer 2.75 / Bertho 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Bertho)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13055719
Schmidtmayer2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 39 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Bertho1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 78 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it79% 60 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchmidtmayer4wins
AwayBertho6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBertho leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchmidtmayer33.3%1 of 3
AwayBertho57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schmidtmayer3Bertho7n = 10Bertho took 7 of 10
S2Schmidtmayer2Bertho8n = 10Bertho took 8 of 10
S3Schmidtmayer4Bertho6n = 10Bertho took 6 of 10
S4Schmidtmayer4Bertho3n = 7Schmidtmayer took 4 of 7
S5Schmidtmayer3Bertho1n = 4Schmidtmayer took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchmidtmayerBerthoS − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.438.7−2.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchmidtmayerBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 461 vs 342 / 64846.9%52.8%216 / 461 vs 342 / 648Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoSchmidtmayer 2.75/Bertho 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.7%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 13 · 12:28F. Schmidtmayer—8270T. Bertho—1111113
WJul 13 · 11:30F. Schmidtmayer—91111113T. Bertho—114781
LMay 24 · 16:46F. Schmidtmayer—651141T. Bertho—11113113
LMay 24 · 13:15F. Schmidtmayer—6960T. Bertho—1111113
LMay 6 · 16:48F. Schmidtmayer—86110T. Bertho—1111133
LMay 6 · 14:45F. Schmidtmayer—119101172T. Bertho—511121113
LMay 3 · 20:35F. Schmidtmayer—1159111T. Bertho—71111133
WMay 3 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer—141158113T. Bertho—127111162
WApr 26 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer—581211113T. Bertho—111110792
WApr 23 · 20:29F. Schmidtmayer—891114113T. Bertho—111151242
F. Schmidtmayer10
LSep 1 · 16:39P. Kotrbacek1.7311101011123F. Schmidtmayer2.00912126102LSep 1 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.831411581P. Kotrbacek1.8316711113LSep 1 · 13:30F. Schmidtmayer1.83991391K. Farsky1.83111111113LAug 28 · 16:45P. Kotrbacek2.38913911113F. Schmidtmayer1.53111111682LAug 28 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.1084111262M. Vana1.671111310113WAug 28 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.808111111113P. Kotrbacek1.9111481372LAug 28 · 13:30F. Schmidtmayer1.7381290A. Dvoracek2.001114113LAug 26 · 16:29F. Schmidtmayer2.6371110111V. Toman1.4411612133LAug 26 · 15:30V. Toman1.671111113F. Schmidtmayer2.105860LAug 26 · 15:00F. Schmidtmayer2.20116551J. Marhol1.6161111113
T. Bertho10
LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162LSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881WSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113WSep 1 · 17:08K. Farsky1.8081151352T. Bertho1.911131111113WSep 1 · 15:00T. Bertho2.001111113K. Farsky1.737450
Upcoming Matches
F. Schmidtmayer
Nothing scheduled
T. Bertho
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